United Energy Group Limited (HKG:467) shares have retraced a considerable 27% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 74% share price decline.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think United Energy Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Oil and Gas industry is similar at about 0.8x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
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How Has United Energy Group Performed Recently?
Recent times have been pleasing for United Energy Group as its revenue has risen in spite of the industry's average revenue going into reverse. Perhaps the market is expecting its current strong performance to taper off in accordance to the rest of the industry, which has kept the P/S contained. Those who are bullish on United Energy Group will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a slightly lower valuation.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on United Energy Group.How Is United Energy Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like United Energy Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 44% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 133% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 2.4% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 5.3%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that United Energy Group's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
What We Can Learn From United Energy Group's P/S?
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for United Energy Group looks to be in line with the rest of the Oil and Gas industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
When you consider that United Energy Group's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 3 warning signs for United Energy Group that you should be aware of.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.