Earnings Miss: Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 11% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
Earnings Miss: Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. Missed EPS By 11% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts
As you might know, Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric Co., Ltd. (HKG:3898) last week released its latest quarterly, and things did not turn out so great for shareholders. Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric missed earnings this time around, with CN¥6.0b revenue coming in 7.6% below what the analysts had modelled. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.70 also fell short of expectations by 11%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric after the latest results.
你可能知道,株洲中车时代电气有限公司(HKG: 3898)上周发布了最新一季度,但对股东来说情况并不那么好。株洲中车时代电气这次未能实现收益,60元人民币的收入比分析师的模型低7.6%。0.70元人民币的法定每股收益(EPS)也比预期低11%。对于投资者来说,这是一个重要时刻,因为他们可以在报告中追踪公司的业绩,看看专家对明年的预测,看看对该业务的预期是否有任何变化。读者会很高兴得知我们已经汇总了最新的法定预测,以了解分析师在最新业绩公布后是否改变了对株洲中车时代电气的看法。
Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric from 23 analysts is for revenues of CN¥30.2b in 2025. If met, it would imply a substantial 26% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to ascend 15% to CN¥2.91. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥30.3b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.91 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.
考虑到最新业绩,23位分析师对株洲中车时代电气的最新共识是,2025年的收入为302元人民币。如果得到满足,这意味着其收入在过去12个月中将大幅增长26%。每股收益预计将增长15%,至2.91元人民币。在本报告发布之前,分析师一直在模拟2025年的收入为303元人民币,每股收益(EPS)为2.91元人民币。因此,很明显,尽管分析师已经更新了估计,但在最新业绩公布后,对该业务的预期没有重大变化。
There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of HK$37.40, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric at HK$46.86 per share, while the most bearish prices it at HK$28.53. These price targets show that analysts do have some differing views on the business, but the estimates do not vary enough to suggest to us that some are betting on wild success or utter failure.
收入或盈利预期或37.40港元的目标股价没有变化,这表明该公司在最近的业绩中已达到预期。但是,还有另一种思考价格目标的方法,那就是研究分析师提出的价格目标范围,因为范围广泛的估计可能表明,对业务可能的结果有不同的看法。目前,最看涨的分析师估值株洲中车时代电气为每股46.86港元,而最看跌的分析师估值为28.53港元。这些目标股价表明,分析师对该业务的看法确实有所不同,但这些估计的差异不足以向我们表明,有些人押注取得巨大成功或彻底失败。
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The analysts are definitely expecting Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 20% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 9.1% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 12% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric to grow faster than the wider industry.
了解这些预测的更多背景信息的一种方法是研究它们与过去的业绩相比如何,以及同一行业中其他公司的表现。分析师肯定预计,株洲中车时代电气的增长将加速,预计到2025年底的年化增长率为20%,而过去五年的历史年增长率为9.1%。相比之下,同行业的其他公司预计收入每年将增长12%。显而易见,尽管增长前景比最近更加光明,但分析师也预计,株洲中车时代电气的增长速度将超过整个行业。
The Bottom Line
底线
The most obvious conclusion is that there's been no major change in the business' prospects in recent times, with the analysts holding their earnings forecasts steady, in line with previous estimates. Happily, there were no major changes to revenue forecasts, with the business still expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
最明显的结论是,该业务的前景最近没有重大变化,分析师的收益预测保持稳定,与先前的估计一致。令人高兴的是,收入预测没有重大变化,预计该业务的增长速度仍将快于整个行业。共识目标股价没有实际变化,这表明该业务的内在价值与最新估计相比没有发生任何重大变化。
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Zhuzhou CRRC Times Electric going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..
话虽如此,公司收益的长期轨迹比明年重要得多。在Simply Wall St,我们有分析师对株洲中车时代电气到2026年的全方位估计,你可以在我们的平台上免费看到这些估计。
Another thing to consider is whether management and directors have been buying or selling stock recently. We provide an overview of all open market stock trades for the last twelve months on our platform, here.
需要考虑的另一件事是管理层和董事最近是否在买入或卖出股票。我们在此处概述了过去十二个月在我们的平台上所有公开市场股票交易。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。