Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:1121) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 30% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 64% loss during that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 14.1x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Luxury industry have P/S ratios below 0.7x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Has Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings Performed Recently?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 9.6%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 19% overall rise in revenue. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 12% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings' P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings' P/S
Even after such a strong price drop, Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings' P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
The fact that Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Golden Solar New Energy Technology Holdings (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.