Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Joint-Stock Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603369)?
Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Joint-Stock Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603369)?
Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Ltd (SHSE:603369) has had a rough month with its share price down 14%. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. In this article, we decided to focus on Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Ltd's ROE.
江蘇金運酒業有限公司(SHSE:603369)在過去一個月表現不佳,股價下跌14%。然而,更仔細地看看其穩健的財務狀況,可能會讓你重新考慮。鑑於基本面通常決定長期市場表現,這家公司值得關注。本文中,我們決定重點分析江蘇金運酒業有限公司的ROE。
Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
股本回報率(ROE)是衡量公司如何有效地增長其價值和管理投資者資金的指標。簡單來說,它衡量公司的盈利能力相對於股東權益的情況。
How To Calculate Return On Equity?
如何計算股東權益回報率?
The formula for return on equity is:
股東權益回報率的公式是:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
股東權益回報率 = 凈利潤(來自持續運營)÷ 股東權益
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Ltd is:
根據上述公式,江蘇金運酒業有限公司的ROE爲:
24% = CN¥3.6b ÷ CN¥15b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
24% = CN¥36億 ÷ CN¥150億(基於截至2024年9月的最近十二個月)。
The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.24 in profit.
『回報』是指在過去十二個月內扣稅後的收益。換句話說,對於每1元的股本,公司能夠賺取0.24元的利潤。
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
ROE爲什麼對凈利潤增長很重要?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
到目前爲止,我們已經了解了ROE衡量公司利潤產生效率的程度。現在我們需要評估公司爲未來增長而重新投資或「保留」的利潤數量,然後了解公司的增長潛力。假設其他一切不變,ROE和利潤保留率越高,公司的增長率就越高,而與不一定具備這些特徵的公司相比,這種增長率的相對性就越高。
Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Ltd's Earnings Growth And 24% ROE
江蘇金運釀酒有限公司的收益增長和24%的ROE
First thing first, we like that Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Ltd has an impressive ROE. Second, a comparison with the average ROE reported by the industry of 16% also doesn't go unnoticed by us. As a result, Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Ltd's exceptional 21% net income growth seen over the past five years, doesn't come as a surprise.
首先,我們非常喜歡江蘇金運釀酒有限公司的ROE表現優秀。其次,與行業平均16%的ROE相比,我們也沒有忽視這一點。因此,江蘇金運釀酒有限公司在過去五年中看到的21%的凈利潤增長並不令人驚訝。
Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Ltd's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 15% in the same period, which is great to see.
接下來,在與行業凈利潤增長進行比較時,我們發現江蘇金運釀酒有限公司的增長相較於同期行業平均增長15%是相當高的,這非常不錯。

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Ltd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.
對公司進行估值的基礎在很大程度上與其盈利增長有關。投資者應試圖確定預期的盈利增長或下降,無論是哪種情況,都是否已經被定價。這樣做將有助於他們判斷股票未來的前景是樂觀還是悲觀。江蘇金運酒業有限公司相對於其他公司是否被公平估值?這三項估值指標可能會幫助你做出決定。
Is Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Ltd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
江蘇金運酒業有限公司是否有效利用了其利潤?
Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Ltd's three-year median payout ratio is a pretty moderate 33%, meaning the company retains 67% of its income. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the high growth we discussed above, it looks like Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Ltd is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.
江蘇金運酒業有限公司三年的中位數派息比率爲33%,這意味着公司保留了67%的凈利潤。這表明其股息得到了很好的覆蓋,考慮到我們上面討論的高增長,江蘇金運酒業有限公司似乎正在有效地將其收益再投資。
Moreover, Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Ltd is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of nine years of paying a dividend. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 35% of its profits over the next three years. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Ltd's future ROE will be 24% which is again, similar to the current ROE.
此外,江蘇金運酒業有限公司決心繼續與股東分享其利潤,這可以從其連續九年支付股息的悠久歷史推斷出來。根據最新分析師的共識數據,我們發現預計公司在未來三年內將繼續支付大約35%的利潤。因此,預測表明江蘇金運酒業有限公司未來的ROE將爲24%,這與當前的ROE相似。
Conclusion
結論
On the whole, we feel that Jiangsu King's Luck Brewery Ltd's performance has been quite good. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.
總體來看,我們認爲江蘇金運釀酒有限公司的表現相當不錯。特別是,我們喜歡公司正在大舉投資於其業務,並且獲得了高額的回報率。不出所料,這導致了令人印象深刻的收益增長。最新的行業分析師預測顯示,公司預計將保持其當前的增長率。這些分析師的預期是基於行業的廣泛預期,還是公司的基本面?點擊這裏查看我們對該公司的分析師預測頁面。
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這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。