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Eastern Pioneer Driving School Co., Ltd's (SHSE:603377) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 29%

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 2, 2024 08:05

Eastern Pioneer Driving School Co., Ltd (SHSE:603377) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 29% share price jump in the last month. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 64% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, Eastern Pioneer Driving School may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x, since almost half of all companies in the Consumer Services industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 5.5x and even P/S higher than 10x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SHSE:603377 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 2nd 2024

What Does Eastern Pioneer Driving School's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Eastern Pioneer Driving School over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Eastern Pioneer Driving School will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Eastern Pioneer Driving School?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Eastern Pioneer Driving School would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 11% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 26% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 51% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's understandable that Eastern Pioneer Driving School's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Final Word

Eastern Pioneer Driving School's recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Eastern Pioneer Driving School revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Having said that, be aware Eastern Pioneer Driving School is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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