AAON, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAON) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
AAON, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAON) Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 17x, you may consider AAON, Inc. (NASDAQ:AAON) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 49.3x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been pleasing for AAON as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on AAON will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as AAON's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 24% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 136% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 13% per annum during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be similar to the 11% per year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it interesting that AAON is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From AAON's P/E?
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of AAON's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - AAON has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than AAON. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.