The EPI (Holdings) Limited (HKG:689) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 28%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 16% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, when almost half of the companies in Hong Kong's Oil and Gas industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.8x, you may still consider EPI (Holdings) as a stock probably not worth researching with its 1.4x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
What Does EPI (Holdings)'s Recent Performance Look Like?
Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for EPI (Holdings), which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the reasonable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on EPI (Holdings)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, EPI (Holdings) would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.3% last year. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 101% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 5.1% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in consideration, it's not hard to understand why EPI (Holdings)'s P/S is high relative to its industry peers. Presumably shareholders aren't keen to offload something they believe will continue to outmanoeuvre the wider industry.
The Final Word
Despite the recent share price weakness, EPI (Holdings)'s P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of EPI (Holdings) revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its high P/S, given they look better than current industry expectations. In the eyes of shareholders, the probability of a continued growth trajectory is great enough to prevent the P/S from pulling back. Barring any significant changes to the company's ability to make money, the share price should continue to be propped up.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for EPI (Holdings) you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of EPI (Holdings)'s business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.