Investors Can Find Comfort In Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech's (SZSE:301287) Earnings Quality
Investors Can Find Comfort In Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech's (SZSE:301287) Earnings Quality
A lackluster earnings announcement from Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech. Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301287) last week didn't sink the stock price. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.
上週,江蘇康力遠體育科技股份有限公司(SZSE:301287)發佈了一份平淡的營收公告,但股票價格沒有下跌。我們的分析表明,除了利潤數據較差外,投資者還應該注意一些其他數據中潛在的弱點。

Zooming In On Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech's Earnings
關注江蘇康力遠體育科技的盈利能力
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
在高金融中,用於衡量公司將報告的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是計提比率(從現金流量中)。要獲取計提比率,我們首先需要將一個期間的自由現金流減去利潤,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均營運資產。這個比率告訴我們公司的利潤超過了其FCF。
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
因此,當公司的應計負債比率爲負時,實際上是一件好事,但如果其應計負債比率爲正,那就是一件壞事。雖然應計負債比率爲正不是問題,表明某種程度的非現金利潤,但高應計負債比率可以說是一件壞事,因爲這表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計負債比率往往導致利潤較低或利潤增長較少。
Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech has an accrual ratio of -0.41 for the year to September 2024. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥138m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥53.1m. Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
江蘇康力遠體育科技於2024年9月底的年度資產負債率爲-0.41。這意味着其自由現金流明顯超過其法定利潤。事實上,在過去一年中,其自由現金流爲人民幣13800萬,遠遠超過法定利潤的人民幣5310萬。江蘇康力遠體育科技的自由現金流在過去一年有所改善,這通常是一個好的跡象。話雖如此,事情遠未結束。我們可以看到,不尋常的項目影響了其法定利潤,因此影響了資產負債率。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech.
注:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表強度。點擊這裏可查看我們對江蘇康力遠體育科技資產負債表的分析。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
非常規項目如何影響利潤?
Surprisingly, given Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥36m in unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
有趣的是,江蘇康力源體育科技的計提比率意味着強勁的現金轉換,其紙面利潤實際上因飛凡項目增加了3600萬人民幣。雖然我們喜歡看到利潤增加,但當飛凡項目做出重大貢獻時,我們往往會更加謹慎。當我們對成千上萬家上市公司進行數據分析時,我們發現一年中來自飛凡項目的提振往往在下一年不會重複。鑑於名稱,這並不令人意外。江蘇康力源體育科技相對於其2024年9月的利潤,飛凡項目的貢獻相當顯著。其他條件相同的情況下,這很可能會導致法定利潤對基本盈利能力的指導不足。
Our Take On Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech's Profit Performance
我們對江蘇康力源體育科技的盈利表現看法
Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Given the contrasting considerations, we don't have a strong view as to whether Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech's profits are an apt reflection of its underlying potential for profit. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. For example, Jiangsu Kangliyuan Sports Tech has 5 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
江蘇康力源體育科技的利潤得到了飛凡項目的提振,這表明這些利潤可能無法持續,然而其計提比率仍然顯示出較好的現金轉換,這是令人欣慰的。考慮到相互矛盾的因素,我們對於江蘇康力源體育科技的利潤是否恰當反映了其潛在利潤能力並沒有強烈觀點。鑑於這一點,如果您想對這家公司進行更多分析,了解涉及的風險是至關重要的。例如,我們認爲江蘇康力源體育科技有5個警示標誌(其中1個有點不愉快),我們認爲您應該了解。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
在本文中,我們已經考慮了許多因素,這些因素可能會影響利潤數字作爲業務指南的效用。但如果您有能力專注於細節,總是可以發現更多。例如,許多人認爲高淨資產回報率是有利的業務經濟指標,而其他人則喜歡「跟隨資金」並尋找內部人員正在買入的股票。儘管這可能需要您進行一些研究,但您可能會發現這個免費的高淨資產回報率的公司集合,或者這個持有重要內部股權的股票清單是有用的。
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