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Why Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan)'s (SZSE:002265) Healthy Earnings Aren't As Good As They Seem

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 4 08:15

Shareholders didn't seem to be thrilled with Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002265) recent earnings report, despite healthy profit numbers. Our analysis suggests they may be concerned about some underlying details.

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SZSE:002265 Earnings and Revenue History November 4th 2024

A Closer Look At Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan)'s Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

For the year to September 2024, Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan) had an accrual ratio of 0.28. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥154m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥283.4m. It's worth noting that Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan) generated positive FCF of CN¥408m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. The good news for shareholders is that Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan)'s accrual ratio was much better last year, so this year's poor reading might simply be a case of a short term mismatch between profit and FCF. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan).

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan)'s profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥95m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan) had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan)'s Profit Performance

Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan) had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan)'s statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example - Jianshe Industry Group (Yunnan) has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, and we've come away cautious. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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