We Think Hangzhou Silan MicroelectronicsLtd (SHSE:600460) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
We Think Hangzhou Silan MicroelectronicsLtd (SHSE:600460) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt
David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Hangzhou Silan Microelectronics Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600460) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
戴維·伊本說得很好,'波動性不是我們關心的風險。我們關心的是避免資本永久損失。' 當我們考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過載可能導致滅頂之災。重要的是,士蘭微電子股份有限公司(SHSE:600460)確實有債務。 但更重要的問題是:這筆債務帶來了多大風險?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
一般來說,只有當一家公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲一個真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是通過自身現金流量。資本主義的一部分是「創造性毀滅」的過程,失敗的企業會被銀行無情地清算掉。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債累累的公司因爲貸款人強迫他們以折價價格籌集資本而永久性地稀釋股東權益。然而,債務可以取代稀釋,成爲需要資金以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。當我們分析債務水平時,我們首先要考慮現金和債務水平。
How Much Debt Does Hangzhou Silan MicroelectronicsLtd Carry?
士蘭微電子股份有限公司承擔了多少債務?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Hangzhou Silan MicroelectronicsLtd had CN¥5.97b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥4.70b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.27b.
下面的圖表(您可以點擊查看更多詳細信息)顯示,2024年9月,士蘭微電子有59.7億人民幣的債務,與前一年大致相同。 另一方面,它有47億人民幣的現金,淨債務約爲12.7億人民幣。

How Strong Is Hangzhou Silan MicroelectronicsLtd's Balance Sheet?
士蘭微的資產負債表有多強?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Hangzhou Silan MicroelectronicsLtd had liabilities of CN¥6.95b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.76b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.70b as well as receivables valued at CN¥4.36b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.65b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
最新的資產負債表數據顯示,士蘭微有一年內到期的負債爲69.5億人民幣,以及之後到期的37.6億人民幣的負債。 抵消這些義務,它有47億人民幣的現金以及43.6億人民幣的應收賬款,12個月內到期。 因此,它的負債總額比現金和短期應收賬款合計多16.5億人民幣。
Of course, Hangzhou Silan MicroelectronicsLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥46.5b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
當然,士蘭微的市值爲465億人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可以控制的。 話雖如此,很明顯我們應繼續監控其資產負債表,以免情況變得更糟。
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Service Corporation International的債務是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆蓋其利息開支的3.7倍。綜合考慮,雖然我們不希望看到債務水平上升,但我們認爲它可以應對當前的槓桿。好消息是,Service Corporation International在過去12個月中將其EBIT提高了2.9%,從而逐漸降低了其相對於收益的債務水平。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中獲得了有關債務的大部分內容。但是,相對於資產負債表,更重要的是未來收益,這將決定Service Corporation International維持健康資產負債表的能力。如果您關注未來,您可以查看此免費報告,其中有分析師的利潤預測。
Hangzhou Silan MicroelectronicsLtd's net debt is only 0.95 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 15.3 times the size. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. In fact Hangzhou Silan MicroelectronicsLtd's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 49% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hangzhou Silan MicroelectronicsLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
士蘭微的淨債務僅爲其EBITDA的0.95倍。 而其EBIT輕鬆覆蓋了其利息支出,是其規模的15.3倍。 因此,您可以認爲它受債務威脅並不比大象受小老鼠的威脅更多。 實際上,士蘭微的救世主是其低企業債務水平,因爲其EBIT在過去十二個月中下降了49%。 利潤下滑(如果趨勢持續)最終可能使即使是適度的債務變得相當危險。 資產負債表顯然是在分析債務時要關注的領域。 但最終業務未來的盈利能力將決定士蘭微是否能夠隨着時間加強其資產負債表。 因此,如果您關注未來,您可以查看這份展示分析師盈利預測的免費報告。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Hangzhou Silan MicroelectronicsLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
最後,一家公司只能用冰冷的現金償還債務,而不是會計利潤。 因此,我們明顯需要看看EBIT是否導致相應的自由現金流。 在過去三年中,士蘭微的自由現金流總體上呈現出相當大幅度的負增長。 儘管這可能是爲了增長的支出所致,但這確實使債務變得更加風險。
Our View
我們的觀點
Hangzhou Silan MicroelectronicsLtd's EBIT growth rate and conversion of EBIT to free cash flow definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Hangzhou Silan MicroelectronicsLtd is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Hangzhou Silan MicroelectronicsLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
士蘭微的EBIt增長率和EBIt轉化爲自由現金流的能力確實令人擔憂,在我們看來。但好消息是,看起來該公司能夠輕鬆覆蓋利率期貨支出。當考慮到討論的所有因素時,我們覺得士蘭微在債務使用上存在一定的風險。雖然債務可以增加回報,但我們認爲公司現在已經有足夠的槓桿。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在資產負債表之外的風險。請注意,士蘭微在我們的投資分析中顯示出2個警告信號,您應該了解...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。
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