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We Think That There Are More Issues For Anhui Coreach TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002983) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

We Think That There Are More Issues For Anhui Coreach TechnologyLtd (SZSE:002983) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

我们认为,安徽科瑞技术股份有限公司(SZSE:002983)存在的问题不仅仅是盈利疲软。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/04 09:20

The subdued market reaction suggests that Anhui Coreach Technology Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002983) recent earnings didn't contain any surprises. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

市场反应平淡表明安徽芯瑞达科技股份有限公司(SZSE:002983)最近的收益没有出现任何意外。我们的分析表明,除了盈利数据较弱之外,投资者还应该注意到一些其他数据中存在的潜在弱点。

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SZSE:002983 Earnings and Revenue History November 4th 2024
SZSE:002983 盈利和营业收入历史数据 2024年11月4日

A Closer Look At Anhui Coreach TechnologyLtd's Earnings

对安徽芯瑞达科技有限公司的盈利进行更详细的分析

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

正如财务专业人士所知,从现金流量计算出的应计比率是评估一家公司自由现金流(FCF)是否与其利润相匹配的关键指标。换句话说,该比率将自由现金流从净利润中减去,然后将该数字除以该期间公司的平均营运资产。该比率告诉我们公司的多少利润不是由F C F支持的。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负的应计利润率对公司来说是积极的,而正的应计利润率则是负面的。虽然有正的应计利润率不是问题,表示某种程度的非现金利润,但高的应计利润率可能是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek 2014年的一篇论文:“具有更高应计利润的公司未来 tend to be less profitable。”

For the year to September 2024, Anhui Coreach TechnologyLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.43. Statistically speaking, that's a real negative for future earnings. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥106.0m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥166m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥128m a year ago though, so Anhui Coreach TechnologyLtd has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

截至2024年9月的年度,安徽芯瑞达科技有限公司的应计比率为0.43。从统计上看,这对未来的盈利真的是个负面影响。事实上,在此期间,该公司根本没有产生任何自由现金流。尽管报告的利润为10600万元人民币,但从自由现金流的角度来看,该公司实际上在过去一年中亏损了16600万元人民币。我们发现一年前自由现金流为12800万元人民币,因此,安徽芯瑞达科技有限公司至少过去能够产生正的自由现金流。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Anhui Coreach TechnologyLtd.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表实力。点击此处查看有关安徽芯瑞达科技有限公司资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Anhui Coreach TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

我们对安徽芯瑞达科技有限公司的盈利表现持这样观点

As we discussed above, we think Anhui Coreach TechnologyLtd's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. For this reason, we think that Anhui Coreach TechnologyLtd's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But at least holders can take some solace from the 19% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Anhui Coreach TechnologyLtd.

正如我们上面讨论的,我们认为安徽芯瑞达科技有限公司的收益并未得到自由现金流的支持,这可能会引起一些投资者的担忧。由于这个原因,我们认为安徽芯瑞达科技有限公司的法定利润可能不是评估其潜在盈利能力的良好指南,并可能使投资者对该公司产生过度乐观的印象。但至少持有者可以从过去三年每股收益增长19%的安慰中获得些许喘息。本文的目标是评估我们在多大程度上可以依赖法定收益来反映公司的潜力,但还有很多因素需要考虑。考虑到这一点,除非我们对风险有透彻的了解,否则我们不会考虑投资股票。为了帮助您做出决策,我们发现了2个警示信号(其中1个令人担忧!)在您购买安徽芯瑞达科技有限公司股票之前,您应该注意。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Anhui Coreach TechnologyLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

今天,我们放大了一个数据点,以更好地了解安徽芯瑞达科技有限公司盈利的本质。但如果您能集中注意力进行细枝末节的研究,就会发现更多有趣内容。例如,许多人认为高净资产收益率表明了良好的商业经济,而另一些人则喜欢‘追随资金’并寻找内部人士在买入的股票。虽然这可能需要您稍微做些调查,但您可能会发现这个免费的企业收益率集合,或者拥有重大内部持股的股票清单对您有所帮助。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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