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Zhixin Group Holding Limited (HKG:2187) Shares May Have Slumped 30% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Zhixin Group Holding Limited (HKG:2187) Shares May Have Slumped 30% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

至欣集團控股有限公司(HKG:2187)的股價可能下跌了30%,但要低價入市仍然不太可能
Simply Wall St ·  11/03 20:16

Zhixin Group Holding Limited (HKG:2187) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 30% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 83% share price decline.

Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Zhixin Group Holding's P/S ratio of 0.8x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Basic Materials industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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SEHK:2187 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 4th 2024

What Does Zhixin Group Holding's Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Zhixin Group Holding's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhixin Group Holding will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhixin Group Holding?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Zhixin Group Holding would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.8%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 36% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 12% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Zhixin Group Holding's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Zhixin Group Holding's P/S

Zhixin Group Holding's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

The fact that Zhixin Group Holding currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 6 warning signs for Zhixin Group Holding (2 are significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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