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There May Be Reason For Hope In Inzone GroupLtd's (SHSE:600858) Disappointing Earnings

There May Be Reason For Hope In Inzone GroupLtd's (SHSE:600858) Disappointing Earnings

印孚瑟機構股份有限公司(SHSE:600858)令人失望的收益可能有一線希望
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/04 02:23

Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Inzone Group Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600858) shareholders over the last week. We did some digging, and we believe the earnings are stronger than they seem.

上週,銀座股份(SHSE:600858)的股東似乎並不擔心業績疲軟。我們進行了一些調查,我們相信業績要比表面看起來更強大。

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SHSE:600858 Earnings and Revenue History November 4th 2024
SHSE:600858 2024年11月4日的盈利與營業收入歷史數據

Zooming In On Inzone GroupLtd's Earnings

深入研究銀座股份的盈利能力

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

用於衡量公司如何將其利潤轉換爲自由現金流(FCF)的一個重要的財務比率是應計比率。爲了獲得應計比率,我們首先從一段時間的利潤中減去FCF,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均營運資產。該比率向我們展示了公司的利潤超過自由現金流的程度。

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

因此,當一家公司的淨應計流量比率爲負數時,實際上它被認爲是一件好事,但是如果它的應計流量比率爲正數,那麼就是一件壞事了。儘管應計流量比率高於零時並不值得擔憂,但當一家公司的應計流量比率相對較高時,我們認爲值得注意。原因是一些學術研究表明高的應計比率往往導致利潤或利潤增長較少。

Inzone GroupLtd has an accrual ratio of -0.22 for the year to September 2024. That indicates that its free cash flow quite significantly exceeded its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥905m, well over the CN¥98.5m it reported in profit. Inzone GroupLtd shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

銀座股份於2024年9月底的年度資產負債率爲-0.22。這表明其自由現金流顯着超過了其法定利潤。事實上,在過去十二個月中,其報告的自由現金流爲90500萬元人民幣,遠遠超過其98050萬元人民幣的利潤。銀座股份的股東們無疑對過去十二個月表現較好的自由現金流感到滿意。話雖如此,故事還未結束。我們可以看到,異常項目影響了其法定利潤,因此影響了資產負債率。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常規項目如何影響利潤?

Surprisingly, given Inzone GroupLtd's accrual ratio implied strong cash conversion, its paper profit was actually boosted by CN¥34m in unusual items. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

值得注意的是,銀座股份公司的應計比例暗示着強勁的現金轉換,其名義利潤實際上因特別項目增加了人民幣3400萬。雖然我們喜歡看到利潤增加,但當特別項目對利潤貢獻較大時,我們往往會更加謹慎。我們對全球大多數上市公司進行了數據分析,發現特別項目一次性出現是非常普遍的現象。而且,從會計術語的含義來看,也正是如此。假設那些特別項目在當年不會再次出現,那麼在沒有業務增長的情況下,我們預計明年的利潤可能會較弱。

Our Take On Inzone GroupLtd's Profit Performance

我們對銀座股份公司的利潤表現持什麼態度

Inzone GroupLtd's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Considering all the aforementioned, we'd venture that Inzone GroupLtd's profit result is a pretty good guide to its true profitability, albeit a bit on the conservative side. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. For example, we've found that Inzone GroupLtd has 3 warning signs (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.

銀座股份公司的利潤得到了特別項目的提振,這表明這些利潤可能是暫時的,然而其應計比率仍表明了可靠的現金轉換,這是令人鼓舞的。考慮到前述種種,我們認爲銀座股份公司的利潤結果是其真實盈利能力的一個很好指標,儘管有點保守。請記住,在分析股票時,注意其中涉及的風險是值得的。例如,我們發現銀座股份公司存在3個警示信號(其中1個有點令人不快!)在繼續分析之前,值得您的注意。

Our examination of Inzone GroupLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

我們對銀座股份公司的審查集中在可以使其盈利看起來比實際更好的某些因素上。但如果您能集中注意力在細節上,總能有更多發現。有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質企業的良好跡象。雖然這可能需要您進行一些研究,但您可能會發現以下內容是有用的:這個免費的公司集合具有高股本回報率,或這個持有大量內部持股股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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