Bitcoin Could Hit $90,000 If Trump Wins, Hold $50,000 Floor Under Harris: Bernstein
Bitcoin Could Hit $90,000 If Trump Wins, Hold $50,000 Floor Under Harris: Bernstein
In the short term, Bernstein believes the election will influence crypto sentiment.Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) could reach $90,000 if Donald Trump secures the presidency, whereas a Kamala Harris win could see Bitcoin stabilizing at a $50,000 floor before any recovery, according to new analysis.
新的分析显示，如果唐纳德·特朗普获得总统职位，比特币（加密货币：BTC）可能达到90,000美元，而卡玛拉·哈里斯的胜利可能会使比特币在任何复苏之前稳定在5万美元的下限。
These predictions come at a time when both candidates have notably addressed crypto policy, making this election pivotal for the industry.
这些预测是在两位候选人都特别讨论了加密政策的时候作出的，这使得这次选举对该行业至关重要。
What Happened: "Bitcoin is resilient to election outcomes," Bernstein's report states, emphasizing that its primary drivers remain U.S. fiscal policies, record debt levels and monetary expansion. "The Bitcoin genie is out of the bottle, and it is hard to reverse this course," the report stated, reinforcing Bitcoin's long-term growth prospects irrespective of the election result.
发生了什么：伯恩斯坦的报告指出：“比特币对选举结果具有弹性，” 他强调其主要驱动力仍然是美国的财政政策、创纪录的债务水平和货币扩张。报告指出：“比特币精灵已经出瓶子，很难扭转这一方向，” 无论选举结果如何，这都强化了比特币的长期增长前景。
In the short term, Bernstein believes the election will influence crypto sentiment.
在短期内，伯恩斯坦认为选举将影响加密情绪。
"We expect Bitcoin to break all-time highs on a Trump win, reaching close to $80,000-90,000 in the next few weeks prior to Jan. 20 inauguration day," the report notes.
报告指出：“我们预计，特朗普获胜后，比特币将突破历史新高，在1月20日就职典礼之前的几周内达到近80,000-90,000美元。”
This projection is based on Trump's perceived pro-crypto stance, which could bring regulatory clarity beneficial to Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.
这一预测基于特朗普认为的支持加密的立场，这可能会为比特币和更广泛的加密市场带来监管清晰度。
On the other hand, Harris's approach, seen as a continuation of existing Democratic policies, may test Bitcoin's resilience.
另一方面，哈里斯的做法被视为民主党现有政策的延续，可能会考验比特币的弹性。
"A Harris win is also not priced in the short term, where Bitcoin could test the $50K floor before staging any recovery," Bernstein added.
伯恩斯坦补充说：“哈里斯的胜利也不是短期内定价的，比特币可能会在复苏之前测试5万美元的下限。”
Also Read: Bitcoin May End The Year At $79,000, Economist Predicts—But Here's How Different Election Outcomes Could Change That
另请阅读：《经济学人》预测，比特币今年年底可能达到79,000美元——但以下是不同的选举结果可能如何改变这种状况
Why It Matters: The report also touches on the potential regulatory landscape for other crypto assets, such as Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH) and Solana (CRYPTO: SOL), stating that under a Harris administration, Ethereum may see a more protected position with the approval of its ETF, which could limit competition for new regulated products like a Solana ETF.
为何重要：该报告还谈到了以太坊（加密货币：ETH）和索拉纳（加密货币：SOL）等其他加密资产的潜在监管格局，指出在哈里斯政府的领导下，以太坊在ETF的批准后可能会获得更多保护，这可能会限制对Solana ETF等新监管产品的竞争。
However, the report states that bipartisan support and a crypto-friendly SEC would benefit all blockchain assets, emphasizing that "the utility argument for blockchain assets depends on a favorable regulatory framework for stablecoin payments, tokenization of traditional assets, and clarity on the security status of crypto assets."
但是，该报告指出，两党的支持和对加密友好的证券交易委员会将使所有区块链资产受益，并强调 “区块链资产的效用论点取决于对稳定币支付的有利监管框架、传统资产的代币化以及加密资产安全状况的明确性。”
These anticipated market shifts will be a focal point at Benzinga's Future of Digital Assets event on Nov. 19, where experts will discuss the implications of the election on the crypto landscape and what investors should anticipate.
这些预期的市场变化将成为11月19日Benzinga数字资产未来活动的焦点，专家们将在该活动中讨论选举对加密格局的影响以及投资者应有的预期。
- Nate Silver Says Kamala Harris 'May Need Backup Plans' If The 'Blue Wall' Is Split But Sees The Race As 'A Near Coin Flip'
- 内特·西尔弗说，如果 “蓝墙” 分裂，卡玛拉·哈里斯 “可能需要备用计划”，但认为这场竞赛 “几乎是硬币翻盘”
Image: Shutterstock
图片：Shutterstock
