Shenzhen Topway Video Communication's (SZSE:002238) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings
Shenzhen Topway Video Communication's (SZSE:002238) Shareholders Have More To Worry About Than Only Soft Earnings
The latest earnings report from Shenzhen Topway Video Communication Co., Ltd (SZSE:002238 ) disappointed investors. We did some digging and think there are some comforting factors lying beneath the statutory profit numbers.
最新的業績顯示,天威視訊(SZSE:002238)令投資者失望。我們進行了深入研究,認爲在法定利潤數字背後有一些令人安心的因素。

Zooming In On Shenzhen Topway Video Communication's Earnings
關注天威視訊的收益
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
正如金融迷們已經知道的那樣,從現金流量計算的應計比率是評估公司自由現金流(FCF)與其利潤相匹配程度的重要指標。應計比率將給定期間的FCF從利潤中減去,並將結果除以公司在該期間的平均經營資產。該比率顯示公司利潤超過其FCF的程度。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
因此,負的應計比率對公司是積極的,而正的應計比率則是消極的。這並不意味着我們應該擔心正的應計比率,但值得注意的是應計比率相當高的地方。這是因爲一些學術研究表明,高應計比率往往導致較低的利潤或利潤增長。
For the year to September 2024, Shenzhen Topway Video Communication had an accrual ratio of -0.10. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥221m, well over the CN¥61.1m it reported in profit. Given that Shenzhen Topway Video Communication had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥221m would seem to be a step in the right direction. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.
截至2024年9月,天威視訊的應計比率爲-0.10。這表明其自由現金流遠超法定利潤。事實上,在過去的12個月裏,它報告的自由現金流爲CN¥22100萬,遠高於其報告的CN¥6110萬的利潤。考慮到天威視訊在前一對應期間的自由現金流爲負,最近12個月的結果CN¥22100萬似乎是一個積極的進展。然而,這並不是全部需要考慮的內容。我們可以看到,飛凡項目影響了其法定利潤,因此也影響了應計比率。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shenzhen Topway Video Communication.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強度。點擊這裏查看我們對天威視訊的資產負債表分析。
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
非常規項目如何影響利潤?
While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Shenzhen Topway Video Communication's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥105m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Shenzhen Topway Video Communication had a rather significant contribution from unusual items relative to its profit to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.
儘管應計比率可能預示着良好,但我們也注意到天威視訊在過去十二個月裏,利潤受到了價值10500萬元的飛凡項目的提振。 雖然利潤更高總是讓人愉快,但來自飛凡項目的大額貢獻有時會降低我們的熱情。 當我們對數千家上市公司的數據進行分析時,我們發現,某一年來自飛凡項目的提振往往不會在下一年重複。 而這正如你所預期的,因爲這些提振被描述爲'飛凡'。 天威視訊在截至2024年9月的利潤中,飛凡項目的貢獻相對較爲顯著。 在其他條件相等的情況下,這可能會導致法定利潤成爲評估潛在盈利能力的不良指南。
Our Take On Shenzhen Topway Video Communication's Profit Performance
我們對天威視訊利潤表現的看法
Shenzhen Topway Video Communication's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Based on these factors, we think it's very unlikely that Shenzhen Topway Video Communication's statutory profits make it seem much weaker than it is. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Shenzhen Topway Video Communication at this point in time. To help with this, we've discovered 4 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Shenzhen Topway Video Communication.
天威視訊的利潤受到了飛凡項目的提振,這表明它們可能並不能持續,然而其應計比率仍然顯示出良好的現金轉化,令人鼓舞。 基於這些因素,我們認爲天威視訊的法定利潤看起來遠比實際情況要弱是非常不太可能的。 因此,儘管收益質量很重要,但在此時考慮天威視訊面臨的風險同樣重要。 爲了幫助你了解這一點,我們發現了4個需警惕的信號(1個令人擔憂!),在購買任何天威視訊股票之前你應當留意。
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
在這篇文章中,我們已經看了一些可能影響利潤數字實用性的因素,作爲業務的指導。但還有很多其他方法可以幫助您了解一家公司。有些人認爲股權回報率高是優質業務的一個好跡象。雖然這可能需要你做一些研究,但你可能會發現這個免費的公司集合擁有高股權回報率,或者這個持有大量內部股份的股票清單是很有用的。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。