There's no doubt that money can be made by owning shares of unprofitable businesses. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. Nonetheless, only a fool would ignore the risk that a loss making company burns through its cash too quickly.
So should Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology (SZSE:000004) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? In this article, we define cash burn as its annual (negative) free cash flow, which is the amount of money a company spends each year to fund its growth. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.
How Long Is Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology's Cash Runway?
You can calculate a company's cash runway by dividing the amount of cash it has by the rate at which it is spending that cash. As at September 2024, Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology had cash of CN¥64m and no debt. In the last year, its cash burn was CN¥23m. That means it had a cash runway of about 2.8 years as of September 2024. That's decent, giving the company a couple years to develop its business. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.
How Well Is Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology Growing?
We reckon the fact that Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology managed to shrink its cash burn by 34% over the last year is rather encouraging. But the revenue dip of 36% in the same period was a bit concerning. Considering both these factors, we're not particularly excited by its growth profile. Of course, we've only taken a quick look at the stock's growth metrics, here. You can take a look at how Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.
Can Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology Raise More Cash Easily?
While Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology seems to be in a fairly good position, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. One of the main advantages held by publicly listed companies is that they can sell shares to investors to raise cash and fund growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.
Since it has a market capitalisation of CN¥2.5b, Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology's CN¥23m in cash burn equates to about 0.9% of its market value. So it could almost certainly just borrow a little to fund another year's growth, or else easily raise the cash by issuing a few shares.
How Risky Is Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology's Cash Burn Situation?
It may already be apparent to you that we're relatively comfortable with the way Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology is burning through its cash. For example, we think its cash burn relative to its market cap suggests that the company is on a good path. While its falling revenue wasn't great, the other factors mentioned in this article more than make up for weakness on that measure. After taking into account the various metrics mentioned in this report, we're pretty comfortable with how the company is spending its cash, as it seems on track to meet its needs over the medium term. Readers need to have a sound understanding of business risks before investing in a stock, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology that potential shareholders should take into account before putting money into a stock.
Of course Shenzhen GuoHua Network Security Technology may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.