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Ji Yao Holding Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300108) 32% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 4 17:35

The Ji Yao Holding Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300108) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 32%. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 8.1% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Ji Yao Holding Group is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 5.6x, considering almost half the companies in China's Pharmaceuticals industry have P/S ratios below 3.5x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

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SZSE:300108 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 4th 2024

How Has Ji Yao Holding Group Performed Recently?

Ji Yao Holding Group has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance is strong enough to outperform the industry, which has inflated the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Ji Yao Holding Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Ji Yao Holding Group would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 4.2% last year. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 42% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 222% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Ji Yao Holding Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

Ji Yao Holding Group's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Ji Yao Holding Group currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Ji Yao Holding Group has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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