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Transfar Zhilian's (SZSE:002010) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Transfar Zhilian's (SZSE:002010) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

传化智联(SZSE:002010)的收入疲软可能只是问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/05 07:06

Investors were disappointed by Transfar Zhilian Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002010 ) latest earnings release. We did some analysis, and found that there are some reasons to be cautious about the headline numbers.

投资者对传化智联股份有限公司(深交所:002010)的最新财报感到失望。我们进行了分析,发现对这个头条数字有一些谨慎的理由。

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SZSE:002010 Earnings and Revenue History November 4th 2024
深交所:002010每股收益和营业收入历史 2024年11月4日

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

不寻常项目如何影响利润?

Importantly, our data indicates that Transfar Zhilian's profit received a boost of CN¥150m in unusual items, over the last year. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we crunched the numbers on thousands of publicly listed companies, we found that a boost from unusual items in a given year is often not repeated the next year. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

重要的是,我们的数据表明,传化智联的利润在过去一年中因非常规项目获得了15000万元人民币的提振。虽然我们喜欢看到利润增长,但当非常规项目做出了较大贡献时,我们往往会更加谨慎。当我们对成千上万家上市公司的数据进行分析时,我们发现某一年来自非常规项目的提振通常不会在下一年重复。这是可以预期的,考虑到这些提振被描述为'非常规'。假设这些非常规项目在当前年度不会再出现,那么我们可以预期明年的利润将会较弱(在没有业务增长的情况下)。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能让你想知道分析师对于未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,你可以点击这里查看一个基于他们的估算的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

Our Take On Transfar Zhilian's Profit Performance

我们对传化智联的利润表现的看法

We'd posit that Transfar Zhilian's statutory earnings aren't a clean read on ongoing productivity, due to the large unusual item. Because of this, we think that it may be that Transfar Zhilian's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you'd like to know more about Transfar Zhilian as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for Transfar Zhilian (of which 1 is a bit unpleasant!) you should know about.

我们认为,传化智联的法定收益并不能完全反映持续的生产能力,因为存在较大的异常项目。由此,我们认为传化智联的法定利润可能好于其潜在的收益能力。遗憾的是,其每股收益在过去12个月内下降了。本文旨在评估我们在多大程度上可以依赖法定收益来反映公司的潜力,但还有很多其他因素需要考虑。如果你想了解更多关于传化智联的业务,了解其面临的风险是非常重要的。每个公司都有风险,我们发现传化智联有4个警告信号(其中1个有点令人不悦!)你应该知道。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Transfar Zhilian's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

今天我们聚焦于一个单一的数据点,以更好地理解传化智联的利润性质。但还有很多其他方式可以帮助你形成对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利商业经济的迹象,而其他人喜欢"追随金钱",寻找内部人士正在购买的股票。虽然这可能需要你一些研究,但你可能会发现这个免费收集的公司拥有高股本回报率,或者这个有显著内部持股的股票列表对你有帮助。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇来自Simply Wall St的文章是一般性的。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,采用无偏见的方法,我们的文章并不旨在提供财务建议。它不构成对任何股票的买入或卖出建议,也未考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您提供以基本数据驱动的长期分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St在提到的任何股票中均没有持仓。

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