Genbyte Technology's (SZSE:003028) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
Genbyte Technology's (SZSE:003028) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
The market wasn't impressed with the soft earnings from Genbyte Technology Inc. (SZSE:003028) recently. Our analysis has found some reasons to be concerned, beyond the weak headline numbers.
Zooming In On Genbyte Technology's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Genbyte Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.48 for the year to September 2024. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥60m despite its profit of CN¥187.0m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Genbyte Technology generated positive FCF of CN¥271m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. One positive for Genbyte Technology shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Genbyte Technology.
Our Take On Genbyte Technology's Profit Performance
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Genbyte Technology didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Genbyte Technology's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 is significant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Genbyte Technology.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Genbyte Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.