Genbyte Technology's (SZSE:003028) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
Genbyte Technology's (SZSE:003028) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems
The market wasn't impressed with the soft earnings from Genbyte Technology Inc. (SZSE:003028) recently. Our analysis has found some reasons to be concerned, beyond the weak headline numbers.
市場對振邦智能(SZSE:003028)最近的疲軟業績並不感到滿意。我們的分析發現除了疲弱的頭條數字外,還有一些值得擔憂的原因。
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Zooming In On Genbyte Technology's Earnings
聚焦Genbyte Technology的盈利
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
在高端金融中,用於衡量公司如何將報告的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是應計比率(來自現金流)。應計比率從給定期間的利潤中減去FCF,並將結果除以該期間公司平均運營資產。你可以將來自現金流的應計比率視爲'非FCF獲利比例'。
As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
因此,負的應計比率對公司來說是積極的,而正的應計比率則是消極的。這並不是說我們應該擔心正的應計比率,但值得注意的是應計比率過高。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年的一篇論文,"具有更高應計數的公司在未來往往盈利較少"。
Genbyte Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.48 for the year to September 2024. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥60m despite its profit of CN¥187.0m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Genbyte Technology generated positive FCF of CN¥271m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. One positive for Genbyte Technology shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.
振邦智能截至2024年9月的應計比率爲0.48。一般來說,這對未來的獲利能力預示着不利。也就是說,在這段時間內,公司沒有產生任何自由現金流。在過去的十二個月中,儘管其利潤爲18700萬人民幣,但實際上它的自由現金流爲負,流出達6000萬人民幣。值得注意的是,振邦智能一年前產生了正的自由現金流爲27100萬人民幣,因此至少他們在過去有過這樣的表現。對於振邦智能的股東來說,有一個積極的消息是,其應計比率在去年顯著改善,這爲相信未來可能恢復更強勁的現金轉化提供了理由。如果情況確實如此,股東們應該關注今年的現金流與利潤的改善。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Genbyte Technology.
注意:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表強度。點擊這裏查看我們對Genbyte Technology資產負債表分析。
Our Take On Genbyte Technology's Profit Performance
關於Genbyte Technology的獲利表現我們的觀點
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Genbyte Technology didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Genbyte Technology's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 is significant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Genbyte Technology.
正如我們明確表示的,我們有點擔心振邦智能沒有通過自由現金流來支持去年的利潤。 因此,我們認爲振邦智能的潛在盈利能力可能低於其法定利潤。 更糟糕的是,它的每股收益在去年有所下降。 歸根結底,如果您想要正確理解這家公司,就必須考慮的不僅僅是上述因素。 請記住,在分析一隻股票時,值得注意的是其中涉及的風險。 爲此,我們發現了兩個警告信號(一個很重要!)您在購買任何振邦智能的股票之前應該了解這些信號。
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Genbyte Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
今天我們聚焦於一個數據點,以更好地理解振邦智能的利潤性質。 但是如果您能夠專注於細節,總會有更多值得發現的東西。 有些人認爲高股本回報率是優質業務的好兆頭。 雖然這可能需要您花一些時間研究,您可能會發現這份承諾高股本回報率的公司自由集合,或者這份擁有重要內部持股的股票清單會對您有幫助。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有反饋?對內容有疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至 editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com。
這篇來自Simply Wall ST的文章是一般性的。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,採用無偏見的方法,我們的文章並不旨在提供財務建議。它不構成對任何股票的買入或賣出建議,也未考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您提供以基本數據驅動的長期分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall ST在提到的任何股票中均沒有持倉。