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Genbyte Technology's (SZSE:003028) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

Genbyte Technology's (SZSE:003028) Sluggish Earnings Might Be Just The Beginning Of Its Problems

根字科技(SZSE:003028)的疲软收益可能只是其问题的开始
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/05 07:55

The market wasn't impressed with the soft earnings from Genbyte Technology Inc. (SZSE:003028) recently. Our analysis has found some reasons to be concerned, beyond the weak headline numbers.

市场对Genbyte Technology Inc. (SZSE:003028) 最近的低迷收益并不满意。我们的分析发现一些令人担忧的原因,超越了弱势的头条数字。

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SZSE:003028 Earnings and Revenue History November 4th 2024
SZSE:003028 营业收入历史数据2024年11月4日

Zooming In On Genbyte Technology's Earnings

聚焦Genbyte Technology的盈利

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

在高级财务中,用来衡量公司将报告的利润转换为自由现金流(FCF)的主要比率是应计比率(来自现金流量表)。该应计比率从给定期间的FCF中减去利润,并将结果除以该时间段内公司的平均营运资产。你可以将应计比率从现金流量表视为“非自由现金流利润比率”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,负的应计负债比率对公司而言是正面的,正的应计负债比率则是负面的。这并不是要暗示我们应该担心正的应计负债比率,但值得注意的是应计负债比率相当高。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文:“应计负债较高的公司未来不太可能有高利润”。

Genbyte Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.48 for the year to September 2024. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. To wit, the company did not generate one whit of free cashflow in that time. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥60m despite its profit of CN¥187.0m, mentioned above. It's worth noting that Genbyte Technology generated positive FCF of CN¥271m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past. One positive for Genbyte Technology shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

截至2024年9月,Genbyte Technology的计提比率为0.48。一般而言,这对未来的盈利前景不容乐观。公司在这段时间内并未产生任何一分自由现金流。在过去的十二个月里,尽管其盈利为18700万人民币,但实际上自由现金流为负值,流出达到6千万人民币。 值得注意的是,Genbyte Technology在一年前实现了27100万人民币的正自由现金流,所以至少他们过去做到了。对于Genbyte Technology的股东来说,一个积极的因素是去年其计提比率明显好转,这让人们相信它未来可能会实现更强的现金转换。如果情况确实如此,股东应该寻求本年度现金流相对于利润的改善。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Genbyte Technology.

注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表强度。点击这里查看我们对Genbyte Technology资产负债表分析。

Our Take On Genbyte Technology's Profit Performance

关于Genbyte Technology的获利表现我们的观点

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Genbyte Technology didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Genbyte Technology's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. In further bad news, its earnings per share decreased in the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 is significant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Genbyte Technology.

正如我们已经明确表明的,我们稍微担心Genbyte Technology没有用自由现金流支撑去年的利润。因此,我们认为Genbyte Technology的潜在盈利能力可能低于其法定利润。进一步的坏消息是,其每股收益在去年下降了。最终,要全面了解该公司,不仅要考虑以上因素,还要着眼于分析股票时涉及的风险。为了帮助理解,我们发现了2个警示信号(其中1个是重要的!),在购买Genbyte Technology的股票之前,您需要注意这些。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Genbyte Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

今天,我们仔细研究了一个单一的数据点,以更好地了解Genbyte Technology的利润性质。但如果您能聚焦于细微之处,还有更多发现等待着您。有些人认为高净资产回报率是一个优质业务的良好迹象。虽然这可能需要您进行一些研究,但您可能会发现这个免费的公司收集高净资产回报率,或者这个拥有重要内部持股的股票清单是有用的。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章是一般性质的。我们仅基于历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,使用公正的方法,我们的文章并非意在提供财务建议。这并不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,并且不考虑您的目标或财务状况。我们旨在为您带来基于基础数据驱动的长期聚焦分析。请注意,我们的分析可能未考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St对提及的任何股票都没有持仓。

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