Winstech Precision Holding's (SZSE:001319) Earnings Are Of Questionable Quality
Winstech Precision Holding's (SZSE:001319) Earnings Are Of Questionable Quality
Winstech Precision Holding Co., LTD. (SZSE:001319) just reported some strong earnings, and the market reacted accordingly with a healthy uplift in the share price. We did some analysis and think that investors are missing some details hidden beneath the profit numbers.
Winstech精密控股有限公司(SZSE:001319)刚刚公布了一些强劲的收益,市场做出了相应的反应,股价出现了健康的上涨。我们做了一些分析,认为投资者遗漏了一些隐藏在利润数字之下的细节。
A Closer Look At Winstech Precision Holding's Earnings
仔细研究Winstech Precision Holding的收益
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
许多投资者还没有听说过现金流的应计比率,但它实际上是衡量公司在给定时期内自由现金流(FCF)在多大程度上支持利润的有用指标。简而言之,该比率从净利润中减去FCF,然后将该数字除以该时期公司的平均运营资产。你可以将现金流的应计比率视为 “非FCF利润率”。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。尽管应计比率为正并不成问题,表示非现金利润达到一定水平,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明票面利润与现金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek在2014年发表的一篇论文,“应计收入较高的公司将来的利润往往会降低”。
Winstech Precision Holding has an accrual ratio of 0.24 for the year to September 2024. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥107.1m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥81m in the last year. It's worth noting that Winstech Precision Holding generated positive FCF of CN¥68m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.
截至2024年9月的一年中,Winstech Precision Holding的应计比率为0.24。因此,我们可以推断出其自由现金流远不足以支付其法定利润。尽管该公司报告的利润为10710万元人民币,但看一下自由现金流就会发现,去年它实际上消耗了8100万加元人民币。值得注意的是,Winstech Precision Holding一年前创造了6800万元人民币的正FCF,因此至少他们过去曾这样做过。
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Winstech Precision Holding.
注意:我们始终建议投资者检查资产负债表的实力。点击此处查看我们对Winstech Precision Holding的资产负债表分析。
Our Take On Winstech Precision Holding's Profit Performance
我们对Winstech Precision Holding的利润表现的看法
Winstech Precision Holding's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Winstech Precision Holding's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. The good news is that, its earnings per share increased by 27% in the last year. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Winstech Precision Holding at this point in time. For example, we've found that Winstech Precision Holding has 2 warning signs (1 is significant!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.
Winstech Precision Holding在过去十二个月中的应计比率表明现金转换率不理想,就我们对收益的看法而言,这是负数。因此,在我们看来,Winstech Precision Holding的真正基础盈利能力实际上可能低于其法定利润。好消息是,其每股收益在去年增长了27%。当然,我们只是在分析其收益时才浮出水面;人们还可以考虑利润率、预测增长和投资回报率等因素。因此,尽管收益质量很重要,但考虑Winstech Precision Holding目前面临的风险同样重要。例如,我们发现 Winstech Precision Holding 有 2 个警告信号(1 个很重要!)在进行进一步分析之前,这值得你注意。
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Winstech Precision Holding's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
本报告仅研究了揭示Winstech Precision Holding利润性质的单一因素。但是,如果你能够将注意力集中在细节上,总会有更多的事情需要发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是优质业务的好兆头。虽然可能需要你进行一些研究,但你可能会发现这份免费收集的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份拥有大量内幕持股的股票清单很有用。
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