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Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600827) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

Shanghai Bailian (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600827) Is Going Strong But Fundamentals Appear To Be Mixed : Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

上海百联(集团)有限公司(SHSE:600827)处于强势,但基本面似乎存在混合信号:股票走势是否有明确方向?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/05 16:20

Shanghai Bailian (Group)'s (SHSE:600827) stock is up by a considerable 31% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study Shanghai Bailian (Group)'s ROE in this article.

上海百联(集团)(SHSE:600827)的股票在过去三个月内大涨了31%。 但公司的关键财务指标似乎在各方面存在差异,这让我们开始质疑公司当前的股价动能是否能够保持。具体来说,我们决定在本文中研究上海百联(集团)的roe。

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

roe或股东权益回报率是评估公司如何有效地从股东那里获得回报的有用工具。简而言之,它用于评估公司相对于其权益资本的盈利能力。

How Is ROE Calculated?

净资产收益率怎么计算?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

股东权益报酬率可以使用以下公式计算:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

净资产收益率 = 净利润(来自持续经营) ÷ 股东权益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanghai Bailian (Group) is:

因此,基于上述公式,上海百联(集团)的roe为:

5.5% = CN¥1.2b ÷ CN¥21b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

5.5% = 人民币12亿 ÷ 人民币210亿(基于截至2024年9月的最近12个月)。

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.06 in profit.

“回报”是企业过去一年赚取的收入。换句话说,每1元人民币的股权,公司能够获得0.06元人民币的利润。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

我们已经确定,roe可以作为一种有效的衡量公司未来盈利能力的指标。现在我们需要评估公司再投资或“保留”的利润有多少,这就给我们提供了有关公司增长潜力的想法。假设其他一切不变,roe和利润保留率越高,公司的增长率就越高,而不一定具备这些特征的公司相比。

A Side By Side comparison of Shanghai Bailian (Group)'s Earnings Growth And 5.5% ROE

上海百联(集团)的盈利增长和5.5%的roe的对比

When you first look at it, Shanghai Bailian (Group)'s ROE doesn't look that attractive. Next, when compared to the average industry ROE of 7.6%, the company's ROE leaves us feeling even less enthusiastic. Hence, the flat earnings seen by Shanghai Bailian (Group) over the past five years could probably be the result of it having a lower ROE.

当您首次查看时,上海百联(集团)的roe看起来并不那么吸引人。接下来,与行业平均roe 7.6%相比,该公司的roe让我们感到更不热情。因此,过去五年来上海百联(集团)的盈利停滞可能是其roe较低的结果。

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that the industry grew its earnings by 3.5% over the last few years.

接下来,与行业净利润增长相比,我们发现行业在过去几年里盈利增长了3.5%。

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SHSE:600827 Past Earnings Growth November 5th 2024
SHSE:600827过去的盈利增长2024年11月5日

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is Shanghai Bailian (Group) fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

公司的估值基础在很大程度上与其盈利增长联系在一起。投资者需要接下来判断的是,预期的盈利增长或者缺乏盈利增长已经反映在股价中。通过这样做,他们将了解股票是否进入了一片晴朗的明天,还是面临着泥泞的未来。上海百联集团相比其他公司是合理价值吗?这3项估值指标可能会帮助您做出决定。

Is Shanghai Bailian (Group) Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

上海百联集团是否在高效利用其利润?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 32% (or a retention ratio of 68%), Shanghai Bailian (Group) hasn't seen much growth in its earnings. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

尽管三年的中位数分红比率为32%(或保留比率为68%),上海百联集团的盈利并没有出现很大增长。因此,可能存在其他因素正在起作用,可能在阻碍增长。例如,该业务面临了一些阻力。

Moreover, Shanghai Bailian (Group) has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer dividends over earnings growth.

此外,上海百联集团至少连续十年支付分红,这表明管理层必须认为股东更喜欢分红而不是盈利增长。

Conclusion

结论

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Shanghai Bailian (Group) can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Moreover, after studying current analyst estimates, we discovered that the company's earnings are expected to continue to shrink in the future. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

总的来看,我们认为上海百联(集团)经常存在多种解读。虽然公司有很高的再投资率,但低ROE意味着所有的再投资并没有给投资者带来任何好处,而且对盈利增长产生了负面影响。此外,在研究了当前分析师的预测之后,我们发现该公司的盈利预期将继续下降。这些分析师的预期是基于对行业的广泛预期,还是基于公司的基本面?点击这里查看我们为该公司的分析师预测页面。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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