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Hangzhou Freely Communication's (SHSE:603602) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

Hangzhou Freely Communication's (SHSE:603602) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit

縱橫通信(上海證券交易所:603602)的問題不僅僅是利潤下滑。
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/06 06:48

Hangzhou Freely Communication Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603602) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. Our analysis suggests that along with soft profit numbers, investors should be aware of some other underlying weaknesses in the numbers.

縱橫通信有限公司(SHSE:603602)最近的疲弱收益報告並沒有引起股票大幅波動。我們的分析表明,除了盈利數字較弱外,投資者還應該注意一些其他數據中潛在的弱點。

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SHSE:603602 Earnings and Revenue History November 5th 2024
SHSE:603602盈利和營業收入歷史 2024年11月5日

Zooming In On Hangzhou Freely Communication's Earnings

聚焦縱橫通信的盈利

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

衡量公司將其利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的一項關鍵財務比率是應計比率。簡單地說,這個比率將FCF從淨利潤中減去,然後除以該公司在該期間的平均運營資產。您可以將從現金流中得出的應計比率視爲「非FCF利潤比率」。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負的應計利潤率對公司來說是積極的,而正的應計利潤率則是負面的。雖然有正的應計利潤率不是問題,表示某種程度的非現金利潤,但高的應計利潤率可能是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek 2014年的一篇論文:「具有更高應計利潤的公司未來 tend to be less profitable。」

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Hangzhou Freely Communication recorded an accrual ratio of 0.25. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥216m despite its profit of CN¥28.7m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥216m, this year, indicates high risk.

截至2024年9月的十二個月內,縱橫通信的應計比率爲0.25。不幸的是,這意味着其自由現金流遠遠低於其申報的利潤。在過去十二個月中,儘管盈利爲2870萬人民幣,但實際上存在負的自由現金流,流出21600萬人民幣,正如前面提到的。考慮到去年負的自由現金流,我們可以想象,一些股東可能會擔心今年21600萬人民幣的現金燃燒是否表明高風險。

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hangzhou Freely Communication.

注:我們始終建議投資者檢查資產負債表的強度。請單擊此處轉到我們對縱橫通信資產負債表的分析。

Our Take On Hangzhou Freely Communication's Profit Performance

我們對縱橫通信的盈利表現持看法

Hangzhou Freely Communication's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Hangzhou Freely Communication's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Hangzhou Freely Communication (2 make us uncomfortable!) that we believe deserve your full attention.

縱橫通信過去12個月的應計比率表明現金轉換不理想,這在我們看來是其收益的負面因素。因此,我們認爲縱橫通信真正的基礎盈利能力實際上低於其法定利潤。遺憾的是,其每股收益在過去12個月內有所下降。當然,在分析其收益時,我們只是觸及了表面;人們還可以考慮利潤率、預測增長和投資回報率等因素。考慮到這一點,除非我們充分了解風險,否則我們不會考慮投資於股票。在我們進行調研時,我們發現了縱橫通信的3個警示信號(其中有2個讓我們感到不安!),我們認爲這值得您充分關注。

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Hangzhou Freely Communication's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

今天,我們把焦點放在一個單一數據點上,以更好地了解縱橫通信盈利的本質。但有許多其他方法可以幫助您評估一家公司。有些人認爲股權回報率高是一個優質企業的好跡象。因此,您可能希望查看這一系列具有高股權回報率的公司,或者這份擁有高內部所有權股票的清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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