Optimistic Investors Push ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300598) Shares Up 26% But Growth Is Lacking
Optimistic Investors Push ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300598) Shares Up 26% But Growth Is Lacking
ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300598) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 68%.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing)'s P/S ratio of 6.9x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Software industry in China is also close to 6.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
What Does ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing)'s P/S Mean For Shareholders?
ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing) has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing revenue at a reasonable pace. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this good revenue growth might only be parallel to the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing) will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing)'s to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 6.2% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 49% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 33% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing)'s P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Bottom Line On ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing)'s P/S
Its shares have lifted substantially and now ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing)'s P/S is back within range of the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing)'s average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.
Having said that, be aware ArcherMind Technology (Nanjing) is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.