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Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's (SHSE:601366) Earnings Might Be Weaker Than You Think

利群商业集团有限公司(SHSE:601366)的收益可能比您想象的要弱

Simply Wall St ·  11/06 08:07

Shareholders didn't seem to be thrilled with Liqun Commercial Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:601366) recent earnings report, despite healthy profit numbers. Our analysis suggests they may be concerned about some underlying details.

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SHSE:601366 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2024

To understand the value of a company's earnings growth, it is imperative to consider any dilution of shareholders' interests. As it happens, Liqun Commercial GroupLtd issued 5.8% more new shares over the last year. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. You can see a chart of Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's EPS by clicking here.

A Look At The Impact Of Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's Dilution On Its Earnings Per Share (EPS)

We don't have any data on the company's profits from three years ago. Zooming in to the last year, we still can't talk about growth rates coherently, since it made a loss last year. What we do know is that while it's great to see a profit over the last twelve months, that profit would have been better, on a per share basis, if the company hadn't needed to issue shares. Therefore, the dilution is having a noteworthy influence on shareholder returns.

If Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's EPS can grow over time then that drastically improves the chances of the share price moving in the same direction. However, if its profit increases while its earnings per share stay flat (or even fall) then shareholders might not see much benefit. For that reason, you could say that EPS is more important that net income in the long run, assuming the goal is to assess whether a company's share price might grow.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Liqun Commercial GroupLtd.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

Alongside that dilution, it's also important to note that Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥128m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. Which is hardly surprising, given the name. We can see that Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

Our Take On Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's Profit Performance

To sum it all up, Liqun Commercial GroupLtd got a nice boost to profit from unusual items; without that, its statutory results would have looked worse. On top of that, the dilution means that its earnings per share performance is worse than its profit performance. Considering all this we'd argue Liqun Commercial GroupLtd's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Our analysis shows 5 warning signs for Liqun Commercial GroupLtd (2 are a bit unpleasant!) and we strongly recommend you look at them before investing.

Our examination of Liqun Commercial GroupLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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