Does Langold Real Estate (SZSE:002305) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Does Langold Real Estate (SZSE:002305) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Langold Real Estate Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002305) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
由伯克希爾·哈撒韋的查理·芒格支持的外部基金經理李錄在談到投資風險時毫不隱瞞,他說'最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而在於您是否會承受資本的永久性損失。'因此,當您考慮任何特定股票的風險性時,需要考慮債務,因爲負債過多可能會拖垮一家公司。與許多其他公司一樣,南國置業股份有限公司(SZSE:002305)正在利用債務。但真正的問題是這筆債務是否讓公司變得更加風險。
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
當企業無法輕鬆履行債務或以有吸引力的價格籌集資本時,債務和其他負債就變得具有風險。 如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人可以接管企業。 然而,更頻繁(但仍然昂貴)發生的情況是,一家公司必須以極低的價格發行股份,永久性地稀釋股東,以穩固其資產負債表。 然而,通過取代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資金以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。 當我們考慮公司的債務使用時,我們首先考慮現金和債務。
What Is Langold Real Estate's Net Debt?
南國置業的淨負債是多少?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Langold Real Estate had debt of CN¥4.46b, up from CN¥4.03b in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.12b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥3.34b.
以下圖片顯示,在2024年9月,南國置業的債務爲44.6億人民幣,比一年前的40.3億人民幣增加。另一方面,公司有11.2億人民幣的現金,導致淨債務約爲33.4億人民幣。
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A Look At Langold Real Estate's Liabilities
南國置業負債情況一覽
According to the last reported balance sheet, Langold Real Estate had liabilities of CN¥17.3b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥4.93b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.12b in cash and CN¥3.09b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥18.0b.
根據最近披露的資產負債表,南國置業的短期負債爲173億人民幣,超過12個月到期的債務則爲49.3億人民幣。抵消這些負債的是,其在12個月內到期的現金有11.2億人民幣,應收款項有30.9億人民幣。因此,其負債超過現金和(短期)應收款項的總和達180億人民幣。
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥3.80b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Langold Real Estate would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Langold Real Estate's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
這種不足顯著地拖累着這家38億人民幣的公司本身,就像一個孩子在揹着厚厚的揹包,裝滿了書籍、體育器材和小號一樣艱難。因此,毫無疑問,我們會密切關注其資產負債表。 畢竟,如果南國置業今天必須償還債務,那很可能需要進行大規模的再資本化。 毋庸置疑,我們大多數關於債務的了解都來自資產負債表。但南國置業的盈利將影響資產負債表未來的表現。因此,在考慮債務時,看盈利趨勢絕對是值得的。請點擊這裏查看交互式快照。
In the last year Langold Real Estate had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 70%, to CN¥2.3b. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
在過去一年中,南國置業在利息和稅前虧損,並實際將營業收入減少了70%,達到23億人民幣。坦白地說,這情況不容樂觀。
Caveat Emptor
買方自負。
Not only did Langold Real Estate's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥907m at the EBIT level. Combining this information with the significant liabilities we already touched on makes us very hesitant about this stock, to say the least. That said, it is possible that the company will turn its fortunes around. Nevertheless, we would not bet on it given that it vaporized CN¥418m in cash over the last twelve months, and it doesn't have much by way of liquid assets. So we consider this a high risk stock and we wouldn't be at all surprised if the company asks shareholders for money before long. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Langold Real Estate that you should be aware of.
過去十二個月,南國置業的營業收入不僅下滑,利息和稅前收益(EBIT)也爲負。確實,在EBIT水平上虧損了高達90700萬人民幣。將這一信息與我們已經提到的巨額負債結合起來,使我們對這支股票非常猶豫不決,可以說至少會讓人感到很擔憂。儘管如此,該公司有可能扭轉局面。儘管過去十二個月蒸發了41800萬人民幣現金,而且沒有太多的流動資產,但我們認爲這是高風險股票,如果公司不久請股東出資,我們一點也不會感到意外。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。然而,並不是所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中,遠非如此。例如,我們已經確定了值得注意的南國置業的1個警示信號,您應該注意。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
每天結束時,通常更好地關注那些沒有淨債務的公司。您可以查看我們特別名單上的這些公司(所有這些公司都有盈利增長記錄)。這是免費的。
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