Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Yues International Holdings Group Limited (HKG:1529) share price has dived 46% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 70% share price decline.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Yues International Holdings Group's P/S ratio of 0.4x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Logistics industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
How Yues International Holdings Group Has Been Performing
Revenue has risen firmly for Yues International Holdings Group recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on Yues International Holdings Group will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Yues International Holdings Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Yues International Holdings Group's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 14% last year. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 17% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 9.3% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Yues International Holdings Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
What Does Yues International Holdings Group's P/S Mean For Investors?
With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Yues International Holdings Group looks to be in line with the rest of the Logistics industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our look at Yues International Holdings Group revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
Having said that, be aware Yues International Holdings Group is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 3 of those are potentially serious.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.