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We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology's (SHSE:603324) Earnings

We Think That There Are Issues Underlying Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology's (SHSE:603324) Earnings

我們認爲上海盛鑑環境科技(SHSE:603324)的盈利存在潛在問題
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/06 09:17

Despite posting some strong earnings, the market for Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603324) stock hasn't moved much. Our analysis suggests that shareholders have noticed something concerning in the numbers.

儘管上海盛健環境科技股份有限公司(SHSE:603324)發佈了一些強勁的盈利報告,但股票市場並沒有太多波動。我們的分析表明,股東已經注意到數字中的一些令人擔憂的因素。

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SHSE:603324 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2024
SHSE:603324 營收歷史數據 2024年11月6日

Examining Cashflow Against Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology's Earnings

審查上海盛健環境科技公司的現金流與盈利情況

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

在高金融中,用於衡量公司將報告的利潤轉化爲自由現金流(FCF)的關鍵比率是計提比率(從現金流量中)。要獲取計提比率,我們首先需要將一個期間的自由現金流減去利潤,然後將該數字除以該期間的平均營運資產。這個比率告訴我們公司的利潤超過了其FCF。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

因此,負的應計利潤率對公司來說是積極的,而正的應計利潤率則是負面的。雖然有正的應計利潤率不是問題,表示某種程度的非現金利潤,但高的應計利潤率可能是一件壞事,因爲它表明紙面利潤與現金流不匹配。引用Lewellen和Resutek 2014年的一篇論文:「具有更高應計利潤的公司未來 tend to be less profitable。」

Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology has an accrual ratio of 0.27 for the year to September 2024. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In the last twelve months it actually had negative free cash flow, with an outflow of CN¥335m despite its profit of CN¥157.6m, mentioned above. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥335m, this year, indicates high risk. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

對2024年9月的上海盛健環境科技公司的憑證比率爲0.27進行分析。因此,我們知道其自由現金流明顯低於其法定利潤,這並不是什麼好事。在過去的十二個月中,儘管利潤爲15,760萬人民幣,但實際上自由現金流爲負值,流出33,500萬人民幣,正如上文所提到的。在去年自由現金流爲負值之後,我們可以想象一些股東可能會懷疑,今年的33,500萬人民幣現金消耗是否表明高風險。然而,這並不是考慮的全部。我們可以看到,一些異常項目對其法定利潤產生了影響,進而影響了憑證比率。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

這可能會讓您想知道分析師對未來盈利能力的預測。幸運的是,您可以單擊此處查看基於其估計的未來盈利能力的互動圖表。

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

非常規項目如何影響利潤?

Given the accrual ratio, it's not overly surprising that Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥16m in the last twelve months. While it's always nice to have higher profit, a large contribution from unusual items sometimes dampens our enthusiasm. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology doesn't see that contribution repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to drop over the current year.

考慮到應計比率,上海盛健環境科技公司過去十二個月的利潤受到價值1600萬人民幣的飛凡項目的提振並不奇怪。雖然高利潤總是令人高興的,但來自飛凡項目的大額貢獻有時會抑制我們的熱情。 我們對全球大部分上市公司進行了數據分析,發現飛凡項目一次性發生的情況非常普遍。畢竟,這正是會計術語的含義。如果上海盛健環境科技公司未能再次獲得這種貢獻,那麼其他條件相同,我們預計其利潤在當前年度會下降。

Our Take On Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology's Profit Performance

我們對上海盛健環境科技公司的盈利表現發表了看法

Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. Considering all this we'd argue Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology's profits probably give an overly generous impression of its sustainable level of profitability. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology you should be mindful of and 1 of these bad boys can't be ignored.

上海盛健環境科技公司的應計比率較低,但其利潤確實受益於飛凡項目的提振。考慮到所有這些,我們認爲上海盛健環境科技公司的利潤可能過分誇大了其可持續盈利水平。因此,如果您想對該公司進行更多分析,了解涉及的風險是至關重要的。作爲例證:我們發現了3個關於上海盛健環境科技公司的警示信號,您應當謹慎對待其中的1個。

Our examination of Shanghai Sheng Jian Environment Technology has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

我們對上海盛健環境科技公司的研究側重於一些可能使其收益看起來比實際更好的因素。基於此,我們對此持有一定懷疑態度。但還有很多其他方法可以了解一家公司。一些人認爲股東權益回報率高是質量企業的良好跡象,因此您可能希望查看這份擁有高股東權益回報率的公司集合,或者這份股東持股比例較高的股票清單。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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