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Is China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings (HKG:1313) A Risky Investment?

Is China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings (HKG:1313) A Risky Investment?

中国资源建筑材料科技控股(HKG:1313)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/06 13:32

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:1313) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

大卫·艾本说得很好,他说:'波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免永久性的资本损失。' 当你评估一个公司的风险时,考虑到这点是很自然的,因为当一个企业倒闭时,往往涉及到债务。我们可以看到中国资源建材科技控股有限公司(HKG:1313)在业务中使用了债务。但这些债务是否会让股东担忧呢?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还债权人的债务,那么企业就处在债权人的支配下。资本主义的一个重要特点就是“创造性破坏”的过程,即银行家无情地清算失败的企业。虽然这种情况很少见,但我们经常会看到负债企业因为债权人强制要求它们以低廉的价格筹集资本,从而永久性稀释股东利益。当然,债务的好处是它通常代表了廉价资本,尤其是当它替代了本来能够以高回报率再投资的公司股份稀释时。考虑一家公司的债务水平时,第一步是将现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings's Net Debt?

中国资源建材科技控股的净债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings had CN¥17.1b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥17.9b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥1.70b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥15.4b.

您可以点击下面的图表查看历史数据,但显示中国资源建材科技控股于2024年9月有171亿人民币的债务,低于一年前的179亿人民币。然而,它持有17亿人民币的现金用以抵消,导致净债务约为154亿人民币。

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SEHK:1313 Debt to Equity History November 6th 2024
SEHK:1313债务资产比历史数据2024年11月6日

A Look At China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings' Liabilities

中国资源建筑材料科技控股公司负债情况一览

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings had liabilities of CN¥15.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥11.5b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.70b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.80b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥21.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

我们可以从最近的资产负债表上看到,中国资源建筑材料科技控股公司的到期负债为157亿人民币,其中有115亿人民币到期。 抵消这些义务的是,其现金为17亿人民币,以及价值38亿人民币的应收账款在12个月内到期。 所以,其负债总额达217亿人民币,超过其现金和短期应收款项的合计。

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥13.3b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

这里的负债严重拖累着这家133亿人民币的公司本身,就像一个小孩背着一大堆书籍、体育用品和小号重重地挣扎着。 因此,我们认为股东们需要密切关注这一点。 最终,如果债权人要求偿还,中国资源建筑材料科技控股公司很可能需要进行一项重大的再资本化。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

为了对公司的债务相对于其收益进行规模适应,我们计算其净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)之比及其税前收益(EBIT)与利息支出之比(利息保障倍数)。因此,我们既考虑到不包括折旧和摊销费用在内的收益,又包括折旧和摊销费用的收益相对于债务。

While we wouldn't worry about China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings's net debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.8, we think its super-low interest cover of 1.3 times is a sign of high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. Looking on the bright side, China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings boosted its EBIT by a silky 42% in the last year. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

虽然我们不太担心中国资源建筑材料科技控股公司的净债务与息税折旧摊销前利润比率为4.8,但我们认为其超低利息保障倍数为1.3倍表明其负债率很高。 在很大程度上,这是由于公司的折旧和摊销费用较大,这也意味着其息税折旧摊销前利润可能是一种非常宽松的收益衡量标准,而其债务可能比表面看起来的要沉重得多。 显而易见的是,借款成本对股东的回报产生了负面影响。 光明的一面是,中国资源建筑材料科技控股公司在过去一年中将其息税前利润增加了42%。 像母亲亲切的拥抱新生儿那样的增长会增强企业的韧性,使其更有能力管理债务。 在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是要重点关注的领域。 但更重要的是,未来的收入将决定中国资源建筑材料科技控股公司今后能否保持健康的资产负债表。 因此,如果您专注于未来,可以查看这份免费报告,其中显示了分析师的利润预测。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

最终,一家公司只能用现金来偿还债务,而不是会计利润。因此,我们总是检查EBIt中有多少被转化为自由现金流。在过去三年里,中国中金环境建筑材料科技控股股东会烧掉大量现金。尽管投资者无疑期待着这种情况很快会逆转,但这明显意味着其债务使用更加危险。

Our View

我们的观点

To be frank both China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, it seems to us that China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with China Resources Building Materials Technology Holdings , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

坦白地说,中国中金环境建筑材料科技控股公司将EBIt转化为自由现金流的能力以及其保持总负债的记录,让我们对其债务水平感到相当不安。但值得一提的是,其EBIt增长率是一个好迹象,让我们更加乐观。总的来说,我们认为中国中金环境建筑材料科技控股公司的资产负债表对业务的风险确实相当大。因此,我们对这只股票的警惕程度几乎和饥饿的小猫对待掉入主人的鱼塘一样:受过一次伤,心有余悸,俗话说得好。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是一个自然的起点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。我们已经发现中国中金环境建筑材料科技控股公司有2个警示信号,了解它们应该成为您投资过程的一部分。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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