Despite an already strong run, Hefei Fengle Seed Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000713) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.
Although its price has surged higher, Hefei Fengle SeedLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.8x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Chemicals industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.3x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
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How Has Hefei Fengle SeedLtd Performed Recently?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Hefei Fengle SeedLtd's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hefei Fengle SeedLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Hefei Fengle SeedLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 2.7%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 10% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 18% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 26% growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that Hefei Fengle SeedLtd's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Hefei Fengle SeedLtd's P/S?
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Hefei Fengle SeedLtd's P/S close to the industry median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Hefei Fengle SeedLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Hefei Fengle SeedLtd with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.