The market seemed underwhelmed by last week's earnings announcement from Geo-Jade Petroleum Corporation (SHSE:600759) despite the healthy numbers. We did some digging, and we think that investors are missing some encouraging factors in the underlying numbers.
One essential aspect of assessing earnings quality is to look at how much a company is diluting shareholders. In fact, Geo-Jade Petroleum increased the number of shares on issue by 12% over the last twelve months by issuing new shares. Therefore, each share now receives a smaller portion of profit. To talk about net income, without noticing earnings per share, is to be distracted by the big numbers while ignoring the smaller numbers that talk to per share value. Check out Geo-Jade Petroleum's historical EPS growth by clicking on this link.
How Is Dilution Impacting Geo-Jade Petroleum's Earnings Per Share (EPS)?
We don't have any data on the company's profits from three years ago. And even focusing only on the last twelve months, we don't have a meaningful growth rate because it made a loss a year ago, too. But mathematics aside, it is always good to see when a formerly unprofitable business come good (though we accept profit would have been higher if dilution had not been required). And so, you can see quite clearly that dilution is influencing shareholder earnings.
In the long term, if Geo-Jade Petroleum's earnings per share can increase, then the share price should too. But on the other hand, we'd be far less excited to learn profit (but not EPS) was improving. For the ordinary retail shareholder, EPS is a great measure to check your hypothetical "share" of the company's profit.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Geo-Jade Petroleum.
How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?
Alongside that dilution, it's also important to note that Geo-Jade Petroleum's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥859m in the last twelve months. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Geo-Jade Petroleum took a rather significant hit from unusual items in the year to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit look worse than its underlying earnings power.
Our Take On Geo-Jade Petroleum's Profit Performance
To sum it all up, Geo-Jade Petroleum took a hit from unusual items which pushed its profit down; without that, it would have made more money. But on the other hand, the company issued more shares, so without buying more shares each shareholder will end up with a smaller part of the profit. Based on these factors, we think that Geo-Jade Petroleum's profits are a reasonably conservative guide to its underlying profitability. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that Geo-Jade Petroleum has 2 warning signs and it would be unwise to ignore them.
In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.