Shareholders in China Feihe (HKG:6186) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago
Shareholders in China Feihe (HKG:6186) Are in the Red If They Invested Three Years Ago
China Feihe Limited (HKG:6186) shareholders will doubtless be very grateful to see the share price up 58% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last three years have been less than pleasing. After all, the share price is down 50% in the last three years, significantly under-performing the market.
毫無疑問,中國飛鶴有限公司(HKG: 6186)股東將非常感激看到上個季度股價上漲58%。但這並不能改變這樣一個事實,即過去三年的回報並不令人滿意。畢竟,股價在過去三年中下跌了50%,表現大大低於市場。
It's worthwhile assessing if the company's economics have been moving in lockstep with these underwhelming shareholder returns, or if there is some disparity between the two. So let's do just that.
值得評估的是,該公司的經濟狀況是否與這些令人難以置信的股東回報步調一致,或者兩者之間是否存在一些差距。所以我們就這麼做吧。
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
不可否認,市場有時是有效的,但價格並不總是能反映潛在的業務表現。評估公司情緒變化的一種有缺陷但合理的方法是將每股收益(EPS)與股價進行比較。
China Feihe saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 25% per year, over the last three years. In comparison the 21% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So, despite the prior disappointment, shareholders must have some confidence the situation will improve, longer term.
在過去三年中,中國飛鶴的每股收益複合下降幅度爲每年25%。相比之下,21%的複合年股價下跌幅度沒有每股收益的下降那麼嚴重。因此,儘管此前曾令人失望,但股東必須有一定的信心,從長遠來看,情況會有所改善。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下圖中看到 EPS 隨時間推移的變化(點擊圖表查看確切值)。
It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on China Feihe's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
可能值得一看我們關於中國飛鶴收益、收入和現金流的免費報告。
What About Dividends?
那股息呢?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. We note that for China Feihe the TSR over the last 3 years was -39%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
重要的是要考慮任何給定股票的股東總回報率和股價回報率。股東總回報率是一種回報計算方法,它考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設收到的任何股息都經過再投資)以及任何貼現資本籌集和分拆的計算價值。可以說,股東總回報率更全面地描述了股票產生的回報。我們注意到,中國飛鶴在過去3年的股東總回報率爲-39%,好於上述股價回報率。這在很大程度上是其股息支付的結果!
A Different Perspective
不同的視角
It's good to see that China Feihe has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 29% in the last twelve months. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 0.3%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand China Feihe better, we need to consider many other factors. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for China Feihe that you should be aware of before investing here.
很高興看到中國飛鶴在過去十二個月中向股東提供了29%的總股東回報率。當然,這包括股息。這一增幅好於五年內的年度股東總回報率,即0.3%。因此,最近公司周圍的情緒似乎一直很樂觀。持樂觀態度的人可能會將最近股東總回報率的改善視爲業務本身隨着時間的推移而變得更好。長期跟蹤股價表現總是很有意思的。但是,爲了更好地了解中國飛鶴,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。例如,我們發現了中國飛鶴的一個警告信號,在投資中國飛鶴之前,你應該注意這個信號。
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).
如果你想和管理層一起購買股票,那麼你可能會喜歡這份免費的公司清單。(提示:其中許多未被注意且估值誘人)。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了目前在香港交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報率。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?擔心內容嗎?直接聯繫我們。或者,發送電子郵件給編輯組(網址爲)simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St 的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法提供基於歷史數據和分析師預測的評論,我們的文章並非旨在提供財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不會考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。華爾街只是沒有持有上述任何股票的頭寸。