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Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for Noblelift Intelligent EquipmentLtd (SHSE:603611) Shareholders

Earnings Troubles May Signal Larger Issues for Noblelift Intelligent EquipmentLtd (SHSE:603611) Shareholders

盈利困难可能预示着Noblelift Intelligent EquipmentLtd (SHSE:603611)的股东面临更大的问题
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/07 07:11

Noblelift Intelligent Equipment Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603611) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. We think that investors are worried about some weaknesses underlying the earnings.

诺力股份智能设备有限公司(SHSE:603611)最近发布的季度业绩报告并未引起股票大幅波动。我们认为投资者担忧其中一些业绩中的弱点。

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SHSE:603611 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2024
SHSE:603611 2024年11月6日盈利和营业收入历史数据

Examining Cashflow Against Noblelift Intelligent EquipmentLtd's Earnings

对比诺力股份智能设备有限公司的现金流和业绩

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

正如财务迷们已经知道的那样,从现金流量的应计比率是一个判断公司自由现金流(FCF)与盈利匹配情况的关键指标。应计比率是将某一段时间内的FCF从利润中减去,然后将结果除以公司在那段时间内的平均营运资产。你可以将从现金流量中计算的应计比率看作“非FCF盈利比例”。

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

因此,负净应计比率对公司来说是一个积极的因素,而正净应计比率则是一个消极因素。虽然净应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们认为,当一个公司的净应计比率相对较高时,值得注意。值得注意的是,有一些学术证据表明,高净应计比率通常是短期利润的一个不良迹象。

Over the twelve months to September 2024, Noblelift Intelligent EquipmentLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.33. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥461.5m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥439m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥430m a year ago though, so Noblelift Intelligent EquipmentLtd has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past.

截至2024年9月的十二个月,诺力股份智能设备有限公司的应计比率为0.33。因此,我们知道其自由现金流明显低于其法定利润,引发了对利润数据的实际用途的质疑。尽管报告显示盈利为46150万元人民币,但观察自由现金流表明其在过去一年已经亏损了43900万元人民币。我们看到一年前自由现金流是43000万元人民币,所以诺力股份智能设备有限公司至少过去能够产生正的自由现金流。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。

Our Take On Noblelift Intelligent EquipmentLtd's Profit Performance

我们对诺力股份智能设备有限公司的盈利表现进行分析

As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Noblelift Intelligent EquipmentLtd didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. For this reason, we think that Noblelift Intelligent EquipmentLtd's statutory profits may be a bad guide to its underlying earnings power, and might give investors an overly positive impression of the company. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. If you want to do dive deeper into Noblelift Intelligent EquipmentLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Noblelift Intelligent EquipmentLtd (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.

我们已经非常清楚地指出,我们对诺力股份智能设备有限公司未能用自由现金流支撑去年的利润感到担忧。因此,我们认为诺力股份智能设备有限公司的会计利润可能不是反映其潜在盈利能力的良好指标,并可能让投资者对该公司产生过分乐观的印象。但好消息是,其每股收益在过去三年中增长速度极为惊人。本文的目标是评估我们能否依赖会计收益来反映公司的潜力,但还有许多其他因素需要考虑。如果你想更深入地了解诺力股份智能设备有限公司,你还应该研究目前面临的风险。每家公司都有风险,我们已经发现诺力股份智能设备有限公司存在2项警示信号(其中1项可能很严重!),你应该知道。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Noblelift Intelligent EquipmentLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

这篇笔记只看了一个有助于了解诺力股份智能设备有限公司盈利性质的因素。但如果你能集中精力关注细微之处,就会有更多发现。有些人认为高股本回报率是一个优质企业的好迹象。因此,你可能希望查看这些股本回报率高的公司免费收藏,或者这些具有高内部持股的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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