Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Hunan Heshun Petroleum Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603353) shareholders over the last week. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.
Examining Cashflow Against Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd's Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Over the twelve months to September 2024, Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd recorded an accrual ratio of -0.10. Therefore, its statutory earnings were quite a lot less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥178m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of CN¥40.6m. Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, which is disappointing, like non-biodegradable balloons.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd.
Our Take On Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd's Profit Performance
As we discussed above, Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd has perfectly satisfactory free cash flow relative to profit. Based on this observation, we consider it likely that Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. The goal of this article has been to assess how well we can rely on the statutory earnings to reflect the company's potential, but there is plenty more to consider. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. At Simply Wall St, we found 1 warning sign for Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd and we think they deserve your attention.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Hunan Heshun PetroleumLtd's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.