Yonz TechnologyLtd (SHSE:603381) Posted Weak Earnings But There Is More To Worry About
Yonz TechnologyLtd (SHSE:603381) Posted Weak Earnings But There Is More To Worry About
Shareholders didn't appear too concerned by Yonz Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603381) weak earnings. We did some analysis and found some concerning details beneath the statutory profit number.
股东似乎并不太担心永清科技股份有限公司(SHSE:603381)的业绩疲软。我们进行了一些分析,并在法定利润数字下发现了一些令人担忧的细节。

A Closer Look At Yonz TechnologyLtd's Earnings
深入了解永清科技股份有限公司的盈利
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
在高端金融中,用于衡量公司如何将报告的利润转化为自由现金流(FCF)的关键比率是应计比率(从现金流量表中)。简单地说,该比率将FCF减去净利润,然后将该数字除以该期间公司的平均运营资产。该比率向我们展示了公司利润超过FCF的程度。
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
这意味着负的应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明公司带来的自由现金流比利润预示的要多。尽管应计比率高于零并不令人担忧,但我们认为值得注意的是,当公司应计比率相对较高时。引用Lewellen和Resutek 2014年的一篇论文:“应计较高的公司未来可能不那么有盈利能力”。
For the year to September 2024, Yonz TechnologyLtd had an accrual ratio of 0.82. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥5.0b, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥296.9m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥5.0b, this year, indicates high risk. However, as we will discuss below, we can see that the company's accrual ratio has been impacted by its tax situation. This would certainly have contributed to the weak cash conversion.
截至2024年9月的一年,永清科技股份有限公司的计提比率为0.82。一般来说,这对未来的盈利能力不利。实际上,在该期间,公司根本没有产生任何自由现金流。过去一年,其实际上有负的自由现金流达到了CN¥50亿,与前述的盈利CN¥29690万形成对比。在经历了去年的负自由现金流后,我们想一些股东可能会疑惑,今年的CN¥50亿现金烧损是否表示高风险。然而,正如我们将在下文讨论的那样,我们可以看到公司的计提比率受其税收情况的影响。这无疑会导致较弱的现金转化。
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
这可能会让您想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看基于其估计的未来盈利能力的互动图表。
An Unusual Tax Situation
一种不寻常的税务情况
Moving on from the accrual ratio, we note that Yonz TechnologyLtd profited from a tax benefit which contributed CN¥32m to profit. It's always a bit noteworthy when a company is paid by the tax man, rather than paying the tax man. Of course, prima facie it's great to receive a tax benefit. However, the devil in the detail is that these kind of benefits only impact in the year they are booked, and are often one-off in nature. In the likely event the tax benefit is not repeated, we'd expect to see its statutory profit levels drop, at least in the absence of strong growth.
从应计比率来看,我们注意到永特科技公司因税收优惠而获得了3200万人民币的利润。 当一个公司由税务机构付款而非向税务机构支付款项时,这总是令人瞩目的。 当然,从表面上看,获得税收优惠是件好事。 然而,问题的关键在于这类利益只会在入账年度产生影响,并且通常是一次性的。 如果税收优惠不再重复发生,我们预计其法定利润水平会下降,至少在没有强劲增长的情况下。
Our Take On Yonz TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance
我们对永特科技公司的盈利表现总结如下
Yonz TechnologyLtd's accrual ratio indicates weak cashflow relative to earnings, which perhaps arises in part from the tax benefit it received this year. If the tax benefit is not repeated, then profit would drop next year, all else being equal. For the reasons mentioned above, we think that a perfunctory glance at Yonz TechnologyLtd's statutory profits might make it look better than it really is on an underlying level. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. To help with this, we've discovered 3 warning signs (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Yonz TechnologyLtd.
永特科技公司的应计比率显示相对于收入的现金流较弱,部分原因可能是由于今年获得的税收优惠。 如果税收优惠不再发生,那么在其他条件不变的情况下,明年利润将下降。 出于上述原因,我们认为仅仅粗略浏览永特科技公司的法定利润可能会使其看起来比实际情况要好。 鉴此,如果您想对该公司进行更多分析,了解风险是至关重要的。 为了帮助您,我们发现了3个警示信号(其中2个有点不愉快!),在购买永特科技公司的股票之前,您应该注意这些警告。
Our examination of Yonz TechnologyLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
我们对永特科技公司的研究重点放在可以使其盈利看起来好于实际情况的某些因素上。 基于此,我们持有一定的怀疑态度。 但是,如果您能专注于细节,总是可以发现更多。 有些人认为股本回报率高是高质量企业的一个好迹象。 尽管您可能需要一些调查,但您可能会发现这个自由收集了股本回报率高的公司,或者这个具有重要内部持股的股票清单会对您有所帮助。
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