Soft earnings didn't appear to concern Yuneng Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688348) shareholders over the last week. Our analysis suggests that while the profits are soft, the foundations of the business are strong.
Zooming In On Yuneng Technology's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.
Yuneng Technology has an accrual ratio of -0.20 for the year to September 2024. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥616m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥189.3m. Given that Yuneng Technology had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥616m would seem to be a step in the right direction.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Yuneng Technology's Profit Performance
Happily for shareholders, Yuneng Technology produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Based on this observation, we consider it possible that Yuneng Technology's statutory profit actually understates its earnings potential! And on top of that, its earnings per share have grown at 48% per year over the last three years. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. For example, we've found that Yuneng Technology has 3 warning signs (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that deserve your attention before going any further with your analysis.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Yuneng Technology's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.