Investors More Bullish on North Copper (SZSE:000737) This Week as Stock Soars 13%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years
Investors More Bullish on North Copper (SZSE:000737) This Week as Stock Soars 13%, Despite Earnings Trending Downwards Over Past Five Years
The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. For instance, the price of North Copper Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000737) stock is up an impressive 292% over the last five years. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 26% gain in the last three months. But this could be related to the strong market, which is up 25% in the last three months.
買入一家公司的股票後,最糟糕的結果(假設沒有槓桿)就是你輸掉了所有投資的錢。但是值得一提的是,一家優秀的公司其股價上漲可以超過100%。例如,北方銅業(SZSE:000737)股票的價格在過去五年裏上漲了令人矚目的292%。股東們也很高興看到在過去三個月裏股價上漲了26%。但這可能與強勁的市場有關,過去三個月裏市場上漲了25%。
On the back of a solid 7-day performance, let's check what role the company's fundamentals have played in driving long term shareholder returns.
在穩定的七天表現之後,讓我們看看公司的基本面對長期股東回報的影響。
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).
用本傑明·格雷厄姆的話來說:「短期市場是一臺投票機,但長期市場是一臺稱重機」。檢查市場情緒如何隨時間推移變化的一種方式是查看公司股價和每股收益(EPS)之間的相互作用。
During five years of share price growth, North Copper actually saw its EPS drop 14% per year.
在股價增長的五年中,北方銅業的每股收益實際上每年下降了14%。
Essentially, it doesn't seem likely that investors are focused on EPS. Since the change in EPS doesn't seem to correlate with the change in share price, it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
實際上,投資者似乎並沒有關注EPS。由於EPS的變化似乎與股價的變化不相關,因此值得關注其他指標。
We doubt the modest 0.9% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. In contrast revenue growth of 29% per year is probably viewed as evidence that North Copper is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
我們懷疑僅有0.9%的分紅派息率並沒有吸引太多買家購買這支股票。相比之下,每年29%的營業收入增長可能被視爲北方銅業正在增長的證據,是一個真正的積極因素。在這種情況下,公司可能正在犧牲當前每股收益以推動增長。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面的圖表顯示了收益和營收隨時間的變化情況(通過單擊圖像揭示確切的值)。

It's probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. It's always worth keeping an eye on CEO pay, but a more important question is whether the company will grow earnings throughout the years. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of North Copper's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
值得一提的是,該CEO的薪酬低於類似規模公司的中位數。關注CEO的薪酬總是值得的,但更重要的問題是公司是否能在未來年度增長收益。通過查看北方銅業的盈利、營業收入和現金流的互動圖表,可以更深入地了解盈利情況。
What About Dividends?
關於分紅派息的問題
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, North Copper's TSR for the last 5 years was 296%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
除了衡量股價回報之外,投資者還應考慮股東的總回報(TSR)。TSR是一種回報計算,考慮了現金分紅的價值(假設任何收到的分紅都被再投資)以及任何折現資本增發和剝離的計算值。因此,對於支付豐厚分紅的公司,TSR通常比股價回報高得多。北方銅業過去5年的TSR爲296%,超過了先前提到的股價回報。因此,公司支付的分紅推動了股東的總回報。
A Different Perspective
另一種看法
It's good to see that North Copper has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 97% in the last twelve months. And that does include the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 32% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand North Copper better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with North Copper (at least 1 which is potentially serious) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
很高興看到北方銅業在過去十二個月裏給股東帶來了總股東回報率達到97%。而這當中確實包括了股息。由於一年的TSR優於五年的TSR(後者爲32%每年),似乎股票的表現在最近有所改善。考慮到股價勢頭依然強勁,值得更仔細地觀察這支股票,以免錯失機會。追蹤股價長期表現總是很有趣。但爲了更好地了解北方銅業,我們需要考慮許多其他因素。比如說,不斷存在的投資風險。我們已經發現北方銅業存在3個警示信號(至少有1個可能嚴重),理解它們應該是投資過程中的一部分。
If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.
如果您願意查看另一家公司(具有潛在的更好財務狀況),請不要錯過這個免費的公司列表,證明它們可以增長收益。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
請注意,本文中引用的市場回報反映了目前在中國交易所上市的股票的市場加權平均回報。
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對這篇文章有反饋嗎?對內容感到擔憂嗎?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team @ simplywallst.com。
Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。