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Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

公务集团公司刚刚超过了盈利预期:分析师认为接下来会发生什么
Simply Wall St ·  11/07 05:42

As you might know, Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (NYSE:PEG) just kicked off its latest third-quarter results with some very strong numbers. Results were good overall, with revenues beating analyst predictions by 2.3% to hit US$2.6b. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in at US$1.04, some 8.9% above whatthe analysts had expected. Following the result, the analysts have updated their earnings model, and it would be good to know whether they think there's been a strong change in the company's prospects, or if it's business as usual. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

正如您所知,Public Service Enterprise Group Incorporated (NYSE:PEG) 刚刚发布了最新的第三季度业绩,数据显示非常强劲。总体而言,业绩表现良好,营业收入超过分析师预期的2.3%,达到了26亿美元。每股收益(EPS)为1.04美元,比分析师预期高出8.9%。根据这一结果,分析师已经更新了他们的盈利模型,了解他们是否认为公司前景发生了重大变化,还是一切照旧将会很有意思。我们认为读者会发现他们最新的(法定)盈利后预测对明年很有趣。

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NYSE:PEG Earnings and Revenue Growth November 7th 2024
NYSE:PEG 2024年11月7日盈利和营业收入增长

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from Public Service Enterprise Group's 14 analysts is for revenues of US$11.1b in 2025. This would reflect an okay 6.7% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory per share are forecast to be US$4.03, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$11.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$4.08 in 2025. So it's pretty clear that, although the analysts have updated their estimates, there's been no major change in expectations for the business following the latest results.

考虑到最新的结果,Public Service Enterprise Group的14名分析师目前一致预测2025年的营业收入为111亿美元。这将反映过去12个月内其营业收入的适度增长,约为6.7%。法定每股预计为4.03美元,与过去12个月基本持平。在此次盈利报告之前,分析师曾预测2025年的营业收入为111亿美元,每股收益(EPS)为4.08美元。因此很明显,尽管分析师已更新其估算,但对公司的期望没有发生重大变化。

There were no changes to revenue or earnings estimates or the price target of US$88.28, suggesting that the company has met expectations in its recent result. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic Public Service Enterprise Group analyst has a price target of US$102 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$68.00. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

对于最近的业绩,营业收入或盈利预测以及88.28美元的目标价均未发生变化,这表明公司符合了市场预期。然而,固守单一的目标价可能是不明智的,因为共识目标实质上是分析师目标价的平均值。因此,一些投资者喜欢查看估值范围,以确定对公司的估值是否存在分歧。最乐观的Public Service Enterprise Group分析师给出了每股102美元的目标价,而最悲观者为68.00美元。这显示估值仍存在一定多样性,但分析师似乎并未完全对该股票存在分歧,因此可能不会出现成功或失败的情况。

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Public Service Enterprise Group's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 5.3% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 2.6% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 5.5% annually. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Public Service Enterprise Group is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.

现在来看整体情况,我们了解这些预测的方式之一是看看它们与过去表现和行业增长预测的比较。从最新的预测来看,公务集团的增长速度有望明显加快,预计到2025年年化营业收入增长率为5.3%,明显快于过去五年的历史增长2.6%每年。将其与同行业其他公司相比,预计每年增长5.5%。考虑到营业收入预计加速增长,很明显,公务集团预计将以与整个行业相近的速度增长。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析师增加了它对下一年每股亏损的估计。令人欣慰的是,营收预测未发生重大变化,业务仍有望比整个行业增长更快。共识价格目标稳定在28.50美元,最新估计不足以对价格目标产生影响。

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最重要的是,分析师再次确认业务绩效符合他们之前的每股收益估计值。他们还确认了营收预测,预计该公司将以与整个行业大致相同的速度增长。共识价格目标没有实质性变化,这表明业务内在价值没有随着最新估算发生任何重大变化。

With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Public Service Enterprise Group. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Public Service Enterprise Group going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

因此,我们不应该急于对公务集团做出结论。长期的盈利能力比明年的利润更加重要。在Simply Wall St,我们有关于公务集团截至2026年的多家分析师预测,您可以免费在我们的平台上查看。

Even so, be aware that Public Service Enterprise Group is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

即便如此,要注意到公务集团在我们的投资分析中显示了3个警示信号,其中有1个让我们感到不太满意...

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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