Is International Seaways (NYSE:INSW) A Risky Investment?
Is International Seaways (NYSE:INSW) A Risky Investment?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies International Seaways, Inc. (NYSE:INSW) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
沃伦•巴菲特曾有言:“波动性与风险远非同义词。”因此,看起来聪明的投资者知道,在评估一家公司有多大风险时,通常与破产有关的债务是一个非常重要的因素。与许多其他公司一样,international seaways股份有限公司(纽交所:INSW)利用债务。但这种债务是否会让股东担忧呢?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什么时候负债才是一个问题?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般来说,当公司无法轻松地通过筹集资本或自有现金流来偿还债务时,债务才变成真正的问题。在最坏的情况下,如果公司无法偿还其债权人,它可能会破产。虽然这不太常见,但我们经常看到,由于贷方以低价迫使它们筹集资本,所以负债的公司会永久性地稀释股东。话虽如此,最常见的情况是公司合理地管理其债务,并从中受益。在考虑业务使用的债务量时,首先要做的是查看其现金和负债。
What Is International Seaways's Net Debt?
international seaways的净债务是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that International Seaways had US$144.6m of debt in June 2024, down from US$318.6m, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$180.7m in cash, so it actually has US$36.1m net cash.
您可以点击下方的图表查看历史数据,但数据显示,国际海运在2024年6月的债务为14460万美元,比一年前的31860万美元减少。然而,其资产负债表显示,公司持有18070万美元现金,因此实际拥有3610万美元净现金。
A Look At International Seaways' Liabilities
国际远洋负债情况一览
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that International Seaways had liabilities of US$111.7m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$675.5m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$180.7m and US$239.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$366.7m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
从最近的资产负债表可以看出,国际远洋有11170万美元的短期到期负债,以及67550万美元的长期到期负债。另一方面,其手头现金为18070万美元,应收账款中有23990万美元是短期应收账款。因此,其负债总额比现金和短期应收账款合计多出36670万美元。
Of course, International Seaways has a market capitalization of US$2.15b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, International Seaways also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.
当然,国际远洋的市值为21.5亿美元,因此这些负债可能是可以管理的。但是我们还是建议股东继续关注资产负债表的情况。虽然它确实有一些值得注意的负债,但国际远洋的现金比债务多,所以我们相当有信心它可以安全地管理债务。
It is just as well that International Seaways's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 26% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine International Seaways's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
很幸运的是,国际远洋的负担并不太重,因为其税息前利润在过去一年下降了26%。收益下降(如果趋势持续)最终可能使即使是适度的债务也变得相当危险。资产负债表显然是分析债务时要关注的领域。但更重要的是,未来的盈利将决定国际远洋维持健康资产负债表的能力。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的看法,您可能会发现分析师盈利预测的免费报告很有趣。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. International Seaways may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, International Seaways recorded free cash flow worth 54% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
最后,虽然税务部门可能喜爱会计利润,但贷款人只接受冰冷的现金。国际远洋的资产负债表可能有净现金,但关注业务将手头税息前利润(EBIt)转化为自由现金流的能力也很有趣,因为这将影响其债务需求和管理能力。在过去三年中,国际远洋记录的自由现金流价值相当于其EBIt的54%,这在正常范围内,因为自由现金流不包括利息和税金。这份自由现金流使公司有能力在适当时偿还债务。
Summing Up
总之
While International Seaways does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of US$36.1m. So we are not troubled with International Seaways's debt use. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for International Seaways (1 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
尽管国际海运的负债比流动资产多,但它也有3610万美元的净现金。所以我们对国际海运的债务使用并不担忧。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表上能学到关于债务的大部分知识。然而,并非所有的投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,我们已经发现了3个国际海运的警示信号(1个不应被忽视),你应该注意。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
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