Is Shandong Meichen Science & TechnologyLtd (SZSE:300237) A Risky Investment?
Is Shandong Meichen Science & TechnologyLtd (SZSE:300237) A Risky Investment?
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Shandong Meichen Science & Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300237) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
傳奇基金經理李錄(得到查理·芒格支持)曾經說過,"最大的投資風險不是價格的波動,而是是否會遭受到資本的永久損失。" 因此,聰明的資金也知道,負債(通常與破產有關)是評估公司風險程度時非常重要的因素之一。我們注意到,山東美誠科技股份有限公司(SZSE:300237)的資產負債表上確實有債務。但股東們是否應該擔心其債務的使用呢?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
債務何時有危險?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
借債可以幫助企業,直到企業因無法獲得新的資本或自由現金流而無法償還。如果情況真的很糟糕,債權人可以接管企業。然而,一種更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是,企業必須以低價籌集新的股權資本,從而永久稀釋股東權益。但是,通過替代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本投資以高回報率增長的企業的極佳工具。當我們考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先看現金和債務的總和。
How Much Debt Does Shandong Meichen Science & TechnologyLtd Carry?
山東美誠科技股份有限公司負責多少債務?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Shandong Meichen Science & TechnologyLtd had CN¥4.06b of debt in September 2024, down from CN¥4.92b, one year before. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.
您可以點擊下方圖表查看歷史數據,但數據顯示,截至2024年9月,山東美誠科技股份有限公司的債務爲40.6億人民幣,較一年前的49.2億人民幣有所下降。淨債務基本相同,因爲現金不多。

How Healthy Is Shandong Meichen Science & TechnologyLtd's Balance Sheet?
山東美晨科技有限公司的資產負債表情況如何?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shandong Meichen Science & TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥6.63b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.11b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥80.5m and CN¥5.97b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.70b.
我們可以從最近的資產負債表中看到,山東美晨科技有限公司的一年內到期的負債爲66.3億人民幣,而超過一年到期的負債爲11.1億人民幣。另一方面,其一年內到期的現金爲8050萬人民幣,應收賬款爲59.7億人民幣。因此,其負債超過了現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和17億人民幣。
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Shandong Meichen Science & TechnologyLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥4.22b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Shandong Meichen Science & TechnologyLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
雖然這看起來可能很多,但並不算糟糕,因爲山東美晨科技有限公司的市值爲42.2億人民幣,所以如果需要的話,它可能通過融資來增強其資產負債表。然而,仍然值得仔細研究其償債能力。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但山東美晨科技有限公司的收入將影響資產負債表未來的表現。因此,如果您希望了解更多關於其收入的信息,不妨查看其長期收入趨勢的圖表。
In the last year Shandong Meichen Science & TechnologyLtd wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 24%, to CN¥1.7b. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
在過去一年中,山東美晨科技有限公司在EBIt水平上沒有盈利,但成功將營業收入增長了24%,達到17億人民幣。希望公司能夠實現盈利增長。
Caveat Emptor
買方自負。
While we can certainly appreciate Shandong Meichen Science & TechnologyLtd's revenue growth, its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is not ideal. Indeed, it lost a very considerable CN¥679m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. Another cause for caution is that is bled CN¥18m in negative free cash flow over the last twelve months. So to be blunt we think it is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Shandong Meichen Science & TechnologyLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.
雖然我們當然欣賞山東美晨科技有限公司的營業收入增長,但它在利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)上的虧損並非理想。實際上,在EBIt水平上損失了非常可觀的67900萬人民幣。當我們考慮到這一點,並想起其資產負債表上的負債,相對於現金,我們認爲公司有債務是不明智的。因此,我們認爲其資產負債表有點緊張,儘管不是無法挽回的局面。另一個警告的原因是在過去十二個月中,其自由現金流爲負1800萬人民幣。因此,坦率地說,我們認爲其存在風險。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中可以了解到債務的情況。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。例如,我們發現了山東美晨科技有限公司的3個警示信號,請在此投資之前注意。
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
當一切塵埃落定時,有時更容易專注於那些甚至不需要債務的公司。讀者可以立即免費查看零淨債務的成長股列表。
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