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Is Huabao International Holdings (HKG:336) A Risky Investment?

Is Huabao International Holdings (HKG:336) A Risky Investment?

華寶國際控股(HKG:336)是一項風險投資嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/11/07 17:46

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Huabao International Holdings Limited (HKG:336) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過:「波動性與風險遠非同義詞。」 當您考慮到一個公司的風險時,自然會考慮其資產負債表,因爲往往在企業倒閉時涉及到債務。我們注意到,Huabao International Holdings Limited(HKG:336)的資產負債表上確實有負債。但股東們是否應擔心其債務使用呢?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時有危險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

一般來說,債務只有在公司無法輕鬆償還債務時才會成爲真正的問題,無論是通過籌集資本還是利用自身現金流。最終,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能什麼也拿不到。然而,更常見(但仍然痛苦)的情況是公司必須以低價籌集新的股本資金,從而永久地稀釋股東的股份。然而,通過替代稀釋,債務可以成爲對需要以較高回報率投資增長的企業非常有利的工具。當考慮公司使用債務時,我們首先需要看現金和債務的總和。

What Is Huabao International Holdings's Debt?

華寶國際控股有限公司的債務是什麼?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Huabao International Holdings had CN¥219.0m of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥466.9m, one year before. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN¥6.01b in cash, so it actually has CN¥5.79b net cash.

您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數據,但它顯示,華寶國際控股在2024年6月的債務爲21900萬人民幣,比一年前的46690萬人民幣有所下降。然而,其資產負債表顯示,其持有60.1億人民幣的現金,因此實際上淨現金爲57.9億人民幣。

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SEHK:336 Debt to Equity History November 7th 2024
SEHK:336債務與股權歷史數據 2024年11月7日

How Healthy Is Huabao International Holdings' Balance Sheet?

華寶國際控股的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Huabao International Holdings had liabilities of CN¥934.2m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥333.8m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥6.01b as well as receivables valued at CN¥666.3m due within 12 months. So it can boast CN¥5.41b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,華寶國際控股的短期負債爲93420萬人民幣,而長期負債爲33380萬人民幣。與這些義務相抵消的是,它擁有60.1億人民幣的現金,以及價值66630萬人民幣的應收賬款,需在12個月內到期。因此,它擁有54.1億人民幣的流動資產超過總負債。

This excess liquidity is a great indication that Huabao International Holdings' balance sheet is almost as strong as Fort Knox. Having regard to this fact, we think its balance sheet is as strong as an ox. Simply put, the fact that Huabao International Holdings has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

這種過剩流動性很好地表明瞭華寶國際控股的資產負債表幾乎和美國黃金庫一樣強大。考慮到這一事實,我們認爲它的資產負債表像牛一樣強大。簡而言之,華寶國際控股比債務多現金的事實可以說是一個良好的跡象,表明它可以安全管理其債務。

It is just as well that Huabao International Holdings's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 58% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Huabao International Holdings's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

幸好華寶國際控股負擔並不太重,因爲它的EBIt在過去一年下降了58%。盈利下降(如果趨勢持續)最終可能會使即使是適度的債務變得相當危險。當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要重點關注的領域。但華寶國際控股的盈利將影響資產負債表未來的表現。因此,如果您渴望了解更多有關其盈利情況的信息,不妨查看其長期盈利趨勢圖表。

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Huabao International Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, Huabao International Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 74% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

最後,一家企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不能解決問題。華寶國際控股可能在資產負債表上有淨現金,但關注企業將盈利前利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流的能力也是很有意義的,因爲這將影響其管理債務的需求和能力。在過去三年裏,華寶國際控股產生了強勁的自由現金流,相當於其EBIt的74%,這正是我們所期望的。這種自由現金流讓公司有能力在適當時期償還債務。

Summing Up

總之

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Huabao International Holdings has net cash of CN¥5.79b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥346m, being 74% of its EBIT. So is Huabao International Holdings's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should learn about the 3 warning signs we've spotted with Huabao International Holdings (including 1 which is significant) .

儘管我們對發現債務問題的投資者表示同情,但您應該記住,華寶國際控股的淨現金爲57.9億元人民幣,流動資產超過負債。而且它以3,4600萬人民幣的自由現金流給我們留下了深刻印象,這佔其EBIt的74%。那麼華寶國際控股的債務是否構成風險呢?在我們看來似乎並不是。當你在分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的重點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。爲此,您應該了解我們發現的華寶國際控股的3個警示信號(其中1個相當重要)。

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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