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Risks Still Elevated At These Prices As Olaplex Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:OLPX) Shares Dive 28%

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 8 05:35

Olaplex Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:OLPX) shares have had a horrible month, losing 28% after a relatively good period beforehand. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, Olaplex Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.3x might still make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 18x and even P/E's below 11x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Olaplex Holdings hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

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NasdaqGS:OLPX Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry November 8th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Olaplex Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Growth For Olaplex Holdings?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Olaplex Holdings would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 61% decrease to the company's bottom line. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 77% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 9.7% each year during the coming three years according to the ten analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 10% growth per year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

With this information, we find it interesting that Olaplex Holdings is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Olaplex Holdings' P/E

Despite the recent share price weakness, Olaplex Holdings' P/E remains higher than most other companies. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Olaplex Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Olaplex Holdings has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Olaplex Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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