Jinhong Holding Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000669) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. Longer-term shareholders would be thankful for the recovery in the share price since it's now virtually flat for the year after the recent bounce.
Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Jinhong Holding Group's P/S ratio of 0.9x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Oil and Gas industry in China is also close to 1.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
What Does Jinhong Holding Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Revenue has risen firmly for Jinhong Holding Group recently, which is pleasing to see. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jinhong Holding Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Jinhong Holding Group?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Jinhong Holding Group's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 9.3%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 32% overall drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 7.2% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Jinhong Holding Group is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Its shares have lifted substantially and now Jinhong Holding Group's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
The fact that Jinhong Holding Group currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Jinhong Holding Group with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Jinhong Holding Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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