Greenland Holdings Corporation Limited (SHSE:600606) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 2.4% isn't as attractive.
Although its price has surged higher, Greenland Holdings may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Real Estate industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.5x and even P/S higher than 6x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
What Does Greenland Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Greenland Holdings has been struggling lately as its revenue has declined faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Greenland Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is Greenland Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Greenland Holdings' to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 30%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 53% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 12% during the coming year according to the lone analyst following the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 15%.
In light of this, it's understandable that Greenland Holdings' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Bottom Line On Greenland Holdings' P/S
Shares in Greenland Holdings have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Greenland Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.
Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Greenland Holdings (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable).
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.