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Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology Company Limited (SHSE:600841) Shares Fly 52% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 9, 2024 06:30

Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology Company Limited (SHSE:600841) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 52% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 8.6% isn't as attractive.

Even after such a large jump in price, Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x, considering almost half of all companies in the Machinery industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.2x and even P/S higher than 6x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SHSE:600841 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 8th 2024

How Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology Has Been Performing

For instance, Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 13% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 69% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we understand why Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What Does Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology's P/S close to the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shanghai New Power Automotive Technology that you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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