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What Zhejiang Red Dragonfly Footwear Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603116) 25% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 8 17:46

Zhejiang Red Dragonfly Footwear Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603116) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 7.3% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Zhejiang Red Dragonfly Footwear's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Luxury industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

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SHSE:603116 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 8th 2024

How Zhejiang Red Dragonfly Footwear Has Been Performing

For instance, Zhejiang Red Dragonfly Footwear's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhejiang Red Dragonfly Footwear will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhejiang Red Dragonfly Footwear?

Zhejiang Red Dragonfly Footwear's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.7%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 18% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 16% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Zhejiang Red Dragonfly Footwear's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Zhejiang Red Dragonfly Footwear's P/S?

Zhejiang Red Dragonfly Footwear appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our look at Zhejiang Red Dragonfly Footwear revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Having said that, be aware Zhejiang Red Dragonfly Footwear is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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