Despite an already strong run, China Spacesat Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600118) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 28% in the last thirty days. Looking further back, the 12% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that China SpacesatLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Aerospace & Defense industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 9.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
SHSE:600118 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 8th 2024
What Does China SpacesatLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
China SpacesatLtd has been struggling lately as its revenue has declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal revenue performance to revert back to industry averages soon, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you still like the company, you'd want its revenue trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on China SpacesatLtd.
What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
China SpacesatLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 26% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 30% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 86% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 60%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that China SpacesatLtd's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From China SpacesatLtd's P/S?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now China SpacesatLtd's P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, China SpacesatLtd's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for China SpacesatLtd with six simple checks.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on China SpacesatLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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