We Think Humanwell Healthcare (Group)Ltd (SHSE:600079) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Humanwell Healthcare (Group)Ltd (SHSE:600079) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Humanwell Healthcare (Group) Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600079) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
伯克希爾-夏利嗯·芒格支持的外部基金經理陸立先生明言,他說,「最大的投資風險不在於價格的波動,而在於您是否會遭受資本的永久損失。」因此似乎明智的資金都知曉,債務 - 通常參與破產 - 是評估一家公司風險多大的重要因素。重要的是,人福醫藥(集團)有限公司(SHSE:600079)確實存在債務。但股東們應該擔心該公司使用債務嗎?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
爲什麼債務會帶來風險?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
債務是幫助企業成長的工具,但如果企業無法償還債務,那它將受債權人控制。資本主義的重要組成部分是「創造性破壞」過程,失敗的企業會被銀行無情地清算。雖然這種情況並不常見,但我們經常看到負債的公司因債權人迫使它們以折價的價格籌集資本而永久稀釋股東權益。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理管理其債務,從中受益。在考慮一家公司的債務水平時,第一步是綜合考慮其現金和債務。
What Is Humanwell Healthcare (Group)Ltd's Debt?
人福醫藥(集團)有限公司的債務是什麼?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Humanwell Healthcare (Group)Ltd had debt of CN¥9.47b at the end of September 2024, a reduction from CN¥10.1b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥4.76b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥4.71b.
下面的圖片顯示,人福醫藥(集團)有限公司於2024年9月底的債務爲94.7億元人民幣,較一年前的101億元人民幣有所減少。然而,由於其擁有47.6億元人民幣的現金儲備,其淨債務較少,約爲47.1億元人民幣。

How Strong Is Humanwell Healthcare (Group)Ltd's Balance Sheet?
人福醫藥(集團)有限公司的資產負債表有多強?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Humanwell Healthcare (Group)Ltd had liabilities of CN¥13.7b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.60b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥4.76b and CN¥11.0b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥543.3m.
我們可以從最近的資產負債表看出,人福醫藥(集團)有限公司有137億人民幣的到期負債,還有26億人民幣的長期債務。另一方面,它有47.6億人民幣的現金和110億人民幣的應收賬款(一年內到期)。因此,其負債高於現金和(短期)應收賬款總和54330萬人民幣。
This state of affairs indicates that Humanwell Healthcare (Group)Ltd's balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the CN¥35.2b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet.
這種情況表明,人福醫藥(集團)有限公司的資產負債表看起來相當穩固,因爲其總負債幾乎等同於其流動資產。因此,這家352億人民幣的公司很不可能現金短缺,但仍值得密切關注其資產負債表。
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
爲了衡量公司債務相對於其收入的規模,我們計算其淨債務除以利息、稅收、折舊和攤銷前利潤(EBITDA),並計算其利息前稅利潤(EBIT)除以利息支出(其利息覆蓋率)。這樣,我們考慮了債務的絕對金額,以及支付的利率。
Humanwell Healthcare (Group)Ltd has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.1. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 17.3 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. Another good sign is that Humanwell Healthcare (Group)Ltd has been able to increase its EBIT by 20% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Humanwell Healthcare (Group)Ltd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
人福醫藥(集團)有限公司的淨負債與EBITDA比率僅爲1.1。其EBIt覆蓋了其利息費用的17.3倍。因此,可以說它受到債務威脅的程度不比大象受到老鼠的威脅。另一個好跡象是,人福醫藥(集團)有限公司已經成功在十二個月內將其EBIt增加了20%,這樣更容易償還債務。當你分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。但更重要的是,未來的收入將決定人福醫藥(集團)有限公司保持健康資產負債表的能力。因此,如果你專注於未來,您可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Humanwell Healthcare (Group)Ltd created free cash flow amounting to 9.0% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
最後,一家企業需要自由現金流來償還債務;會計利潤並不能解決問題。因此,邏輯的下一步是看那些被實際自由現金流配對的EBIt的比例。在過去的三年中,人福醫藥(集團)有限公司創造了相當於其EBIt的9.0%的自由現金流,表現不佳。對我們來說,這樣低的現金轉化率會對其償還債務的能力產生一些擔憂。
Our View
我們的觀點
The good news is that Humanwell Healthcare (Group)Ltd's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. All these things considered, it appears that Humanwell Healthcare (Group)Ltd can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that Humanwell Healthcare (Group)Ltd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...
人福醫藥(集團)有限公司展示了用其EBIt覆蓋利息支出的能力,就像毛絨狗讓幼兒開心一樣。但事實殘酷的是,我們對其將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流的能力感到擔憂。考慮所有這些因素,人福醫藥(集團)有限公司似乎可以輕鬆處理其目前的債務水平。當然,雖然這種槓桿可以增加股東回報,但也會帶來更多風險,因此值得關注。毫無疑問,我們從資產負債表中了解到最多關於債務的信息。然而,並非所有的投資風險都存在於資產負債表中——遠非如此。請注意,我們的投資分析顯示人福醫藥(集團)有限公司出現了1個警示信號,您應該了解一下...
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。
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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。