Is Fujian Rongji Software (SZSE:002474) Using Too Much Debt?
Is Fujian Rongji Software (SZSE:002474) Using Too Much Debt?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Fujian Rongji Software Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002474) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
沃伦·巴菲特曾经说过:“波动性与风险远非同义词。” 因此,当您考虑股票的风险时,需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会拖垮一家公司。需要重点关注的是,榕基软件(SZSE:002474)确实存在债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务造成了多大的风险?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
为什么债务会带来风险?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
债务是帮助企业成长的工具,但如果企业无法偿还其贷款人,那么它就处于他们的控制之下。最终,如果公司不能履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所有。然而,更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,公司必须以低价筹集新的股权资本,从而永久性地稀释股东。当然,债务的好处是,它通常代表着廉价资本,特别是当它替换具有高回报率再投资能力的公司的稀释时。当我们考虑公司的债务使用时,我们首先查看现金和债务的总体情况。
What Is Fujian Rongji Software's Net Debt?
榕基软件的净债务是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Fujian Rongji Software had CN¥589.4m in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it also had CN¥189.7m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥399.7m.
下面的图表显示,榕基软件在2024年9月有人民币58940万的债务;与前一年大致相同。然而,它也持有人民币18970万的现金,因此其净债务为人民币39970万。
How Strong Is Fujian Rongji Software's Balance Sheet?
福建榕基软件的资产负债表究竟有多强?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Fujian Rongji Software had liabilities of CN¥998.2m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥99.2m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥189.7m and CN¥284.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥622.7m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
从最近的资产负债表中可以看出,福建榕基软件一年内到期的负债为99820万元人民币,而超过一年到期的负债为9920万元人民币。另一方面,它手头有18970万元人民币的现金和28490万元人民币一年内到期的应收账款。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收账款合计多62270万元人民币。
Since publicly traded Fujian Rongji Software shares are worth a total of CN¥4.24b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Fujian Rongji Software will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.
由于公开交易的福建榕基软件股票总价值为42.4亿人民币,这样的负债水平似乎不太可能构成重大威胁。话虽如此,明显的是我们应继续监控其资产负债表,以免情况恶化。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是明显的起点。但你不能孤立地看待债务;因为福建榕基软件将需要盈利来偿还债务。所以如果你有兴趣了解更多关于其盈利的信息,不妨查看其长期盈利趋势图。
Over 12 months, Fujian Rongji Software made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥435m, which is a fall of 26%. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
在过去12个月里,福建榕基软件在EBIt层面出现亏损,并将其营业收入下降至43500万元人民币,同比下降26%。坦率地说,这并不好。
Caveat Emptor
买方自负。
Not only did Fujian Rongji Software's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥94m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥55m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we do consider the stock to be risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Fujian Rongji Software , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
在过去十二个月,福建榕基软件的营业收入不仅下滑,还在利息前税收入(EBIt)前产生了负收益。具体来说,EBIt亏损为9400万元人民币。当我们考虑到其资产负债表上的负债相对于现金时,我们认为公司有任何债务都是不明智的。所以我们认为其资产负债表有些紧张,尽管并非无法弥补。然而,过去一年中消耗了5500万元人民币现金的情况也没有帮助。因此可以说我们认为这支股票有风险。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中最了解债务。然而,并非所有的投资风险都在资产负债表内,远非如此。我们已经发现了福建榕基软件的1个警示信号,理解这些信号应该是你投资过程的一部分。
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
每天结束时,通常更好地关注那些没有净债务的公司。您可以查看我们特别名单上的这些公司(所有这些公司都有盈利增长记录)。这是免费的。
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