Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) (SZSE:300180) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) (SZSE:300180) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300180) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
传奇基金经理李录(查理·芒格支持)曾说,“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是您是否会遭受资本的永久损失。” 因此,当您考虑任何特定股票的风险时,需要考虑债务,因为过多的债务可能会拖垮一家公司。我们注意到,华峰超纤(上海)有限公司(SZSE:300180)的资产负债表上确实有债务。但股东们是否应该担心其债务的使用呢?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般来说,只有当公司无法轻松偿还债务时,无论是通过筹集资本还是使用自己的现金流,债务才会成为一个真正的问题。最终,如果公司不能履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能会一无所有。虽然这并不太常见,但我们经常看到,由于借方强迫它们以低价格筹集资本,借款公司会永久稀释股东利益。当然,负债的好处是它通常代表着廉价的资本,特别是当它以具有高回报率的公司替代稀释时。在考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要做的是看其现金和债务的总和。
What Is Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)'s Debt?
华峰超纤(上海)的债务情况如何?
As you can see below, Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) had CN¥1.71b of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥2.29b a year prior. On the flip side, it has CN¥435.4m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.28b.
正如您在下文所看到的,华峰超纤(上海)于2024年9月的债务为17.1亿人民币,较去年同期的22.9亿人民币有所下降。 另一方面,它有4,3540万人民币的现金,净债务约为12.8亿人民币。
How Healthy Is Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)'s Balance Sheet?
华峰超纤(上海)的资产负债表有多健康?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) had liabilities of CN¥1.87b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥597.6m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥435.4m as well as receivables valued at CN¥998.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.03b.
我们可以从最近的资产负债表看出,华峰超纤(上海)有18.7亿人民币的短期到期负债,以及59760万人民币的长期到期负债。用现金的43540万人民币和12个月内应收账款的99880万人民币抵消这些义务,其负债高于现金和(短期)应收款的总和10.3亿人民币。
Of course, Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) has a market capitalization of CN¥15.3b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.
当然,华峰超纤(上海)的市值为153亿人民币,因此这些负债可能是可管理的。 话虽如此,显而易见,我们应继续监控其资产负债表,以防情况变得更糟。
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
我们通过查看净债务与利息、税、折旧和摊销前收益(EBITDA)之比以及计算其利息支出由收益前利息和税(EBIT)覆盖的程度来度量一家公司的债务负载相对于其收益能力的程度。此方法的优点在于我们同时考虑了债务的绝对量(以净债务为EBITDA)以及与该债务相关的实际利息支出(以其利息覆盖倍数计算)。
While Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)'s debt to EBITDA ratio (2.6) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 0.31, suggesting high leverage. It seems that the business incurs large depreciation and amortisation charges, so maybe its debt load is heavier than it would first appear, since EBITDA is arguably a generous measure of earnings. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. One redeeming factor for Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) is that it turned last year's EBIT loss into a gain of CN¥14m, over the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
虽然华峰超纤(上海)的债务/EBITDA比率(2.6)表明其使用了一些债务,但其利息偿付倍数非常低,仅为0.31,这表明杠杆率较高。 看来该公司承担了大额折旧和摊销费用,因此也许其债务负担比表面上看起来更重,因为EBITDA可以说是盈利的一个慷慨指标。 显然,借款成本对股东回报产生了负面影响。对华峰超纤(上海)的一个弥赎之处是,它将去年的EBIT亏损转为了过去12个月的1400万人民币收益。 在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要重点关注的方面。 但不能将债务完全孤立地看待;因为华峰超纤(上海)需要盈利来服务债务。 因此,在考虑债务时,绝对值得观察盈利趋势。 点击这里查看互动快照。
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Happily for any shareholders, Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last year. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.
一家公司只能用现金偿还债务,而不能用会计利润。因此,检查其息税前利润(EBIT)转化为实际自由现金流的比例就显得尤为重要。值得股东高兴的是,华峰超纤(上海)过去一年实际产生的自由现金流要多于EBIT。这种强劲的现金转化让我们像在Daft Punk演唱会上听到节奏降临时的狂热一样激动。
Our View
我们的观点
Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)'s interest cover was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Considering this range of data points, we think Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) is in a good position to manage its debt levels. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
华峰超纤(上海)的利息保障倍数在这一分析中确实是一个真正的负面因素,尽管我们考虑的其他因素要好得多。特别是,我们对其EBIT转化为自由现金流的表现感到印象深刻。考虑到这一系列数据点,我们认为华峰超纤(上海)在管理其债务水平方面处于一个良好的位置。话虽如此,负担还是相当沉重的,因此我们建议股东们密切关注。在分析债务水平时,资产负债表是显而易见的起点。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表之外的风险。我们已经发现华峰超纤(上海)存在2个警告信号,了解它们应该成为您投资过程的一部分。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。
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