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Results: OPKO Health, Inc. Confounded Analyst Expectations With A Surprise Profit

Simply Wall St ·  Nov 9 21:58

The quarterly results for OPKO Health, Inc. (NASDAQ:OPK) were released last week, making it a good time to revisit its performance. Revenues of US$174m missed analyst estimates by a little bit, but statutory earnings beat expectations by an impressive , coming in at US$0.03 per share. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.

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NasdaqGS:OPK Earnings and Revenue Growth November 9th 2024

Following the recent earnings report, the consensus from six analysts covering OPKO Health is for revenues of US$693.6m in 2025. This implies a noticeable 2.5% decline in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share losses are expected to explode, reaching US$0.27 per share. Before this earnings announcement, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$714.8m and losses of US$0.28 per share in 2025. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment in the recent updates, with the analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for losses per share, even though the revenue numbers fell somewhat.

There was no major change to the US$3.96average price target, suggesting that the adjustments to revenue and earnings are not expected to have a long-term impact on the business. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. There are some variant perceptions on OPKO Health, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at US$8.50 and the most bearish at US$2.00 per share. With such a wide range in price targets, analysts are almost certainly betting on widely divergent outcomes in the underlying business. As a result it might not be a great idea to make decisions based on the consensus price target, which is after all just an average of this wide range of estimates.

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. We would also point out that the forecast 2.0% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2025 is better than the historical trend, which saw revenues shrink 7.7% annually over the past five years By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 6.6% per year. So while a broad number of companies are forecast to grow, unfortunately OPKO Health is expected to see its revenue affected worse than other companies in the industry.

The Bottom Line

The most obvious conclusion is that the analysts made no changes to their forecasts for a loss next year. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple OPKO Health analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

You can also see whether OPKO Health is carrying too much debt, and whether its balance sheet is healthy, for free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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